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Why ‘Evan’ Is Not ‘Night At The Museum’

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Today’s Los Angeles Times story finally writes what I’ve been reporting for the past month about Universal’s Evan Almighty, even down to identical language. Theirs: “Saying prayers as Evan Almighty opens to $32 million”. Mine: “Moguls at the studio are resorting to just plain prayers.” But the LAT didn’t even bother to look at the tracking before the pic’s release, or the marketing problems, or the exit polling after, as I did, which all tell the story of why the movie opened so weakly. True, Fox’s much less expensive, better reviewed, and under the radar Night At The Museum opened to only $30 mil – but at the end of the Christmas movie season when there was virtually no upcoming competition left for the PG or PG-13 audience. Whereas this crowded summer, blockbuster-branded and critically panned Evan Almighty faces Disney / Pixar’s Ratatouille (PG) next week, and future rivalry from Warner’s Harry Potter And The Order Of The Phoenix (PG-13), New Line’s Hairspray (PG) and Fox’s The Simpsons (PG-13). As a result, Night At The Museum went on to make $250 mil domestic. Evan Almighty, I’m told, will have trouble making it much past $100 mil.

  • ‘Evan Almighty’ Debuts Weak
  • ‘Evan Almighty’: Going To Heaven Or Hell?
  • Shadyac Mayhem
  • Read More »

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    Germany Bans Tom’s Latest Film Just As Cruise’s UA Starts High-Profile Campaign

    By | Sunday June 24, 2007 @ 1:03pm PDT

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    2ND UPDATE: According to United Artists, Germany’s reported opposition to UA’s movie-in-the-works Valkyrie filming at military sites has less to do with its star Cruise’s being a “dangerous” Scientology and more to do with fuss and bother. Yes It’s Clear, Tom Cruise, Perfectly Clear

    UPDATE: United Artists CEO Paula Wagner responds to Germany nixing the studio’s new pic from filming at military sites because its star Tom Cruise is a Scientologist. (The German government has long claimed Scientology is a cult out to make money. Cruise, Travolta and other celeb members have lobbied U.S. leaders to pressure Germany to stop its anti-Scientology campaign.) Although the Defense Ministry has not yet received official requests from United Artists, Valkyrie “will not be allowed to film at German military sites if Count Stauffenberg is played by Tom Cruise, who has publicly professed to being a member of the Scientology cult,” a Defense Ministry spokesman said today. The movie is about Stauffenberg’s heroic involvement in the real-life 1944 “July Plot” to assassinate Hitler; it was supposed to start filming in Berlin next month. Today, Paula Wagner responded: “Aside from his obvious admiration of the man he is portraying, Mr. Cruise’s personal beliefs have absolutely no bearing on the movie’s plot, themes, or content. And even though we could shoot the movie anywhere in the world, we believe Germany is the only place we can truly do the story justice.”… Read More »

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    NYT Investigates Murdoch For Monday; Auletta Promises But Doesn’t Probe Rupe

    By | Sunday June 24, 2007 @ 12:09pm PDT

    murdochsmaller.jpgOnce again, The New Yorker‘s Ken Auletta, who invented the journalism genre I’ve dubbed CEO Porn, wastes valuable trees — this time, in a lengthy look at the Murdoch-Dow Jones/Wall Street Journal battle for ownership that doesn’t lay a glove on the media mogul. The only interesting anecdote Auletta reports is that some members of the Dow Jones board and the Bancroft family were unhappy with the pro-Murdoch role of DJ CEO Richard Zannino, who met with Murdoch on March 29th. “Some members of the family and the board were astonished that Zannino would even meet with Murdoch, and they were furious that he seemed to favor Murdoch’s offer” to pay nearly twice the share price for Dow Jones, Auletta writes. On May 1st, the day the story broke—on CNBC—Zannino presented what he called a ‘fact-based’ presentation of the pros and cons of selling, which upset some members of the board, and members of the Bancroft family, which controls the company. According to one board participant, ‘He gave a terrible presentation. He was talking about what a disaster it would be if we didn’t take this offer.’ Zannino rejects this characterization of his presentation but says, ‘To be honest, we’re all flattered by Murdoch’s bid.’” Amazing that Auletta’s aptly titled piece “Promises, Promises” doesn’t dig up one new instance of Murdoch’s interference with the journalism he publishes. I hope The New York Read More »

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    DHD Update: Oscar Coverage Begins July

    By | Sunday June 24, 2007 @ 9:39am PDT

    nikkioscarbox_thumbnail.jpg Please make sure DeadlineHollywoodDaily is on your mailing lists.

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    MORE SINKING SEQUELS: ‘Evan Almighty’ Debuts Weak; ‘Silver Surfer’ Drops -65%

    By | Friday June 22, 2007 @ 3:51pm PDT

    evanalmighty_bigteaserposter1.jpgSUNDAY AM: Hollywood’s most expensive comedy ever needed divine intervention and didn’t get it at the box office this weekend as Universal’s Evan Almighty debuted to a disappointing $32.1 million. That’s well below the $50 mil which box office gurus initially expected and the studio’s own lowered expectations of 40+ mil. The PG faith-based pic made less than half the $68 million that the original PG-13 Bruce Almighty took in its opening weekend at the box office. Neither Saturday night nor Friday date night boosted weak matinees for Universal’s terribly reviewed family-targeted Noah’s Ark retelling which did $11.4 million on Friday and $11.4 million on Saturday and a projected $9.5 mil Sunday from 3,602 theaters. The Tom Shadyac-directed pic will see at most $100 mil domestic this summer despite its runaway cost of $210 mil. (Universal insists the final budget came in at $175 mil.) The pic’s business was strongest in the South and Mid-West, average in the West Coast and Mountain regions, and softest in the East and Canada. But the studio had marketed the movie’s religious theme heavily to faith-based sectors whose crowds never translated into multitudes of moviegoers. Exit polls showed 47% of the non-child audience considered themselves frequent attenders of religious services, and ratings were markedly higher among frequent religious service attenders vs. non-frequent attenders. “Suffice to say without ‘frequent church attenders, this film might have gone down as one of the biggest bombs in Hollywood history,” an insider who helped market the film explained to me. All along, tracking scores for “Unaided Awareness” had been too low. 1408_posterbig.jpgAnd even with the book and toilet jokes removed, parents didn’t want to take their kids to a sequel based on a movie they felt was too mature. According to exit polls, the pic drew a wide range of ages, with 52% over age 25, but family moviegoers comprised only 45% of the audience, with just 24% parents and 21% children under age 13. But the major problem in the end seemed to be that Evan Almighty sacrificed too many laughs at the altar of heartwarming. Exit polls showed that the top reason adults wanted to see the movie was the humor (76%). But Evan‘s reviews were god awful. According to RottenTomatoes.com, it garnered only 21% positive reviews among the pool of 112 film critics, and only 9% from major media outlets.). For details about what went wrong, including an analysis of the movie’s marketing and a meltdown by the director, read my previous: ‘Evan Almighty’: Going To Heaven Or Hell?.

    Internationally, Evan Almighty opened No. 1 in Russia and Ukraine day and date with domestic. Russia grossed an estimated $1.5M at 329 venues, which is 10% bigger than Bruce Almighty. Ukraine grossed an estimated $178K at 64 dates, which is 11% bigger than Bruce.  Evan debuts in Greece July 5th, UK on August 3rd, Germany on August 9th, and France on August 15th during school holidays.

    I’m told MGM / The Weinstein Co’s Stephen King horror film 1408 starring John Cusack amightyheart_posterbig.jpgdebuted well in 3rd place this weekend earning $20.3 million from 2,678 venues. So fright pics are alive and well – as logn as their content isn’t torture porn. Another movie opening was Paramount Vantage’s A Mighty Heart, starring Angelina Jolie in the story of journalist Daniel Pearl’s terrorist murder. It finished in 10th place this weekend with only $4 mil from 1,355 playdates. But the real gauge here is its per screen average, which was extremely low, indicating weak interest in this well-reviewed pic despite a ton of publicity featuring tabloid-favorite Jolie. I believe releasing it this blockbuster-crowded summer, even as counter-programming, was a dumb move. September would have been a better time.

    The 2nd biggest movie, Fox’s Fantastic Four: Rise Of The Silver Surfer, suffered a 65% drop-off (and -72% on Friday night alone) at the start of its second week out to make $20.5 mil this weekend from 3,963 theaters for a new cume of $97.9 mil. Warner’s sequel Ocean’s Thirteen three weeks in release was 4th with a new cume of $91.1 after raking in $11.5 mil from Friday through Sunday from 3,450 venues. Universal has had much better luck with its R-rated Judd Apatow laugher Knocked Up in 5th place at the start of four weeks. Its new cume is $108.9 mil after taking in $10.6 mil this weekend from 2,975 venues. In 6th place starting five week in release, Disney’s Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World’s End added another $7.2 mil Friday from 2,802 playdates for a new cume of $287.1 mil. Overseas, the Johnny Depp threequel just reached $585 mil for a whopping new worldwide gross receipts of $872 mil. Sony’s toon Surf’s Up was 7th, making $6.4 mil this weekend from 3,309 theaters beginning its third week. for a new cume of $47 mil. DreamWorks Animation’s Shrek The Third came in 8th at the start of six weeks out after making $5.7 mil from Friday through Sunday from 2,822 theaters for a new cume of $307.9 mil. And, finally, 9th place Nancy Drew from Warner’s dropped 34% after one week to make $4.5 mil from 2,612 venues for a new cume of $16.1 mil. Here’s the Top 10 chart:

  • 1. Evan Almighty $11.4M Fri, $11.4M Sat, and est $9.5M Sun. (cume $32.1M)
  • 2. Silver Surfer $6.2M Fri, $7.9M Sat, and est $6.4M Sun. ($97.9M)
  • 3. 1408 $7.6M Fri, $7.4M Sat, and est $5.3M Sun. ($20.3M)
  • 4. Ocean’s Thirteen $3.5M Fri, $4.6M Sat, and est $3.4M Sun. ($91.1M)
  • 5. Knocked Up $3.3M Fri, $4.3M Sat, and est $3M Sun. ($108.9M)
  • 6. Pirates 3 $2.1M Fri, $2.9M Sat, and est $2.2M Sun. ($287.1M)
  • 7. Surf’s Up $2.1M Fri, $2.5M Sat, and est $2.1M Sun. ($47.3M)
  • 8. Shrek The Third $1.7M Fri, $2.2M Sat, and est $1.9M Sun. ($307.9M)
  • 9. Nancy Drew $1.5K Fri, $1.6M Sat, and est $1.2K Sun. ($16.1M)
  • 10. A Mighty Heart $1.1M Fri, $1.6M Sat, and est $1.1M Sun. ($4M)
  • Read More »

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    Ben Silverman Now Official NBC Employee

    By | Friday June 22, 2007 @ 1:34pm PDT

    He’s passed his drug test. Previous: Ben Silverman Is Breaking All The Rules.

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    Tracking: Harry Is ‘Transformers’ Huge; ‘Rat’ Big, ‘Die Hard’ Good, ‘Captivity’ Zero

    harrypotterandtheorderofthephoenix_bigposter.jpgThe summer box office is about to overheat with so many movies racing into theaters, so the studios understandably have a bad case of pre-release flopsweat. Warner’s Harry Potter And The Order Of The Phoenix (July 11th) just came onto tracking ”huge” which isn’t surprising since the next book comes out around the same time. Harry is no longer a cute little tween. He’s now an edgy rebellious teen. (This tracking mitigates the talk I’ve been hearing: that the film had trade screenings in Kansas City, Memphis and New Orleans and reportedly “was considered boring and lacking in magic by teens, who felt that it didn’t advance the story or characters. They said it was shorter but felt longer,” a source at a rival studio told me.) My sentiment is don’t bet against the Harry Potter movies, ever. They’re a cut above.

    transformers_bigfinalposter.jpgI’m told DreamWorks’ Transformers (July 3rd), which was tracking “gigantic” last week, is still “as big as Harry” now. (But not in the Spidey or Pirates stratosphere — yet.) And its merchandise crap is the hottest in Hollywood. (So maybe Spielberg was right to keep the robots under wraps as long as humanly possible.) My box office gurus keep trying to get their arms around an opening number, but it’s next to impossible what with the Paramount pic’s debut on a Tuesday. Its roll-out over the Fourth Of July week is also going to wreak havoc with the 3-day number from Friday … Read More »

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    Spidey vs Jack: We May Have A Winner!

    By | Friday June 22, 2007 @ 12:37am PDT

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    Earlier in the summer I chronicled a catfight between Sony and Disney over counting the worldwide grosses for Spider-Man 3 vs. Pirates Of the Caribbean 3. (May I never get caught in the middle of a Hollywood brawl like that again!) Well, now the two studios are purring pleasantries. I hear that behind the scenes Sony is ready to congratulate Disney on the very real possibility that the Jack Sparrow threequel will pass the Peter Parker threequel in global gross receipts very soon (maybe even by the end of this weekend). Tobey may have made it faster overall and bigger domestically, but Johnny has sea legs still stronger overseas. To their credit, both movies made it over the $800 million worldwide mark. The latest totals show Spider-Man 3 with $875 million global gross, and Pirates 3 with $840 million.

    Previous: Box Office Catfight By Hollywood Studios

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    Violent Video Game Won’t Hit U.S. Stores

    By | Thursday June 21, 2007 @ 8:13pm PDT

    manhunt2.jpgIt’s not just sick and twisted horror movies that are hurting. The July 10th release of the reputedly cruel and sadistic “Manhunt 2″ is being temporarily suspended because of a ratings setback in the United States and a ban in Britain and Ireland. The New York-based video game publisher Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. said today it needed time to “review its options” after the U.S. video game industry’s self-regulating board gave a preliminary version of “Manhunt 2″ its most stringent ”Adults Only” (AO) rating. News reports say that pretty much dooms sales. Best Buy, Target and Wal-Mart won’t stock AO games. And Nintendo’s and Sony’s policies bar AO content on their systems. (It wasn’t planned for Microsoft’s Xbox 360.) Rockstar has 30 days to appeal the rating or change the game. The game’s content depicts the escape of an amnesiac scientist and a psychotic killer from an asylum and their subsequent killing spree. Talk about disgusting: in the Wii version, the console’s motion-sensitive remote is waved around to control a virtual murder weapon. Today’s suspension was a setback for creator Rockstar Games, which came under fire for its Grand Theft Auto series of bank robberies, assassinations, drug-dealing, pimping, etc. Take-Two earlier this year underwent a shareholder coup that ousted its CEO and nearly all of its board. The times they are a-changin’.

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    Woody Allen Set To Direct LA Comic Opera

    By | Thursday June 21, 2007 @ 7:07pm PDT

    allen_040805_big.jpgWhich is more surprising: that Woody Allen will be working in Los Angeles, or that he’ll be directing an opera? Allen said today: “I have no idea what I am doing. But incompetence has never prevented me from plunging in with enthusiasm.” It will happen in September 2008, according to Placido Domingo, the Los Angeles Opera general director who spent four years pursuing Woody to do it. Allen is scheduled to helm the medieval Gianni Schicchi, Puccini’s only comedy and part of the Il Trittico trio of one-act operas. Allen is following in the footsteps of The Exorcist and The French Connection director Billy Friedkin who has been directing operas for some time now with great success and will helm the two other operas in the trio. Woody, of course, has amply demonstrated a love of music. He plays the clarinet many Monday nights at a nightclub in Manhattan. For years he has worked with musical director Dick Hyman to adapt classic American songs and jazz for his films. And after completing his first musical, Everyone Says I Love You (1996), Woody said he’d like to do another.

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    Janet Hill To Exit Paramount Pics In July

    By | Thursday June 21, 2007 @ 5:19pm PDT

    paramountlogo.jpgWith her two year contract expiring on July 18th, Janet Hill is leaving as Paramount Pictures chief Brad Grey’s corporate mouthpiece. The veteran of MTV Networks and Miramax hasn’t decided exactly what she’ll do next. And there’s no one set to replace her either, so get those resumes ready all you Hollywood flacks looking for a big fat job. Hill was named to the newly created position of Executive Vice President of Corporate Communications, Paramount Pictures, back in July 2005. janethill.jpgBased in LA, she oversaw internal and external business and media communications and public relations for the company during a two year period when her boss was beat up almost weekly by the Hollywood media because of the Pellicano scandal, his studio’s lack of branded product and all those disputes with DreamWorks. Before that, Hill was the Senior Vice President of West Coast Corporate Communications for MTV Networks, and worked closely with MTV’s and Nickelodeon’s film divisions. And previous to that she  was Executive Vice President of Publicity for Miramax Films, where she suffered the slings and arrows of working for Harvey Weinstein for eight long years. On the other hand, she’s also had the misfortune of putting up with me.

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    FCC Ownership Rules Blamed For Total Dominance By Right-Wing Talk Radio

    By | Thursday June 21, 2007 @ 2:47pm PDT

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    You’re not wrong if you think Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity never shut up, whereas Ed Schultz or Randi Rhodes barely get air time on the radio. The Center for American Progress and Free Press just released the first-of-its-kind statistical analysis of the political make-up of talk radio in the United States. centerprogress.gifIt confirms that talk radio, one of the most widely used media formats in America, is dominated almost exclusively by conservatives. The new report entitled “The Structural Imbalance of Political Talk Radio” blames the FCC for the current imbalance, in particular the regulatory body’s elimination of clear public interest requirements for broadcasting, and the relaxation of ownership rules. I know from my own research that, while progressive talk is making tiny inroads on commercial stations thanks to the Air America and Democracy Radio networks, right-wing talk reigns supreme on America’s airwaves because of its omnipresence at bigger, stronger and more high-profile stations. And Infinity and ABC won’t put liberals on the air even though left wingers often beat right-wingers in some major markets. The report found:

  • – Arbitron reports that more than 90 percent of Americans ages 12 or older listen to radio each week — a higher penetration than television, magazines, newspapers, or the Internet. Americans listened on average to 19 hours of radio per week in 2006. Among radio formats, the combined news/talk format leads all others. Through more than 1,700 stations across the nation,
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    Ex-Chief Producing Series Pilot For HBO

    By | Thursday June 21, 2007 @ 12:57pm PDT

    fuchsmichael.jpgOne gossip column today buzzsaws Michael Fuchs about when he was honored June 11th at HBO’s NYC headquarters whose state of the art theater will now be known as the Michael J. Fuchs Theater. It tries to imply that Fuchs, who was famously fired by Time Warner almost 11 1/2 years ago and is recognized now for his singular contribution to the success of HBO, is on the outs again. Not so. Fuchs is producing a TV series whose pilot script is being written now for HBO. It’s a dark one-hour comedy about corporations from the top down. Who better to know about this than Fuchs, right? At the party for him, everyone was laughing at Fuchs’ jokes about Time Warner chieftain Jerry Levin, who fired Fuchs and then got fired himself. Especially Levin’s ex-wife, who was there. Besides, Fuchs is well-known on the rubber chicken charity circuit as a funny toastmaster. “It’s a shame that Page Six got it all backwards. It was one of the most emotional and fun nights of my career. It was a great reunion between old HBO and new HBO which is necessary at this stage,” Fuchs told me today. “I appreciate what HBO did. And I’m excited to be a supplier for them now.”

    Previous: So Nice To See Fuchs Where He Belongs…

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    Here’s Good Sea-quel Idea Free Of Charge

    By | Thursday June 21, 2007 @ 11:28am PDT

    Flipper II: He’s Not Your Friend Anymore
    (Marine Officials Warn Of Wild Biting Dolphins)
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    Why Hollywood Must Ask For A Raise Now

    By | Wednesday June 20, 2007 @ 5:05pm PDT

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    It was bad enough that his Warner Bros executive compensation package full of generous stock options made a semi-billionaire of Terry Semel. So rich, in fact, that he was raking in a lot more than Jerry Levin, the head of parent company Time Warner at the time. Now Semel’s Yahoo! shares and option gains have made his six years at the helm worth $528 million. TheStreet.com went back through all the public filings and counted it up. Semel’s personal profit works out to be $282,000 a day. For losing out to Google! No wonder the serfs, er, shareholders, revolted and forced him out of his management job. (Previous: Terry Semel Hoisted On His Petard.) Yahoo! justified the figure by saying, ”During his tenure Terry helped Yahoo! increase its revenues nearly nine-fold from $717 million in 2001 to $6.4 billion in 2006; boost operating income from a loss in 2001 to nearly $1 billion last year; and create more than $30 billion in shareholder value.” Oh, and in his spare time, Semel cured cancer. Explain to me: WHAT is so special about this guy?

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    Brillstein-Grey Rebrands …Without Brad

    By | Wednesday June 20, 2007 @ 3:38pm PDT

    berniebrad.JPGThe renamed talent management and movie/TV production entity will continue to pay homage to Bernie Brillstein, who founded the firm and mentored many of its executives and remains active. “It’s been a pleasure seeing this company evolve over the past 38 years,” Brillstein says in the press release. So as of today Brillstein-Grey Entertainment will be known just as Brillstein Entertainment Partners to ”embrace the company’s roots while recognize the team that now guides it.” The announcement was made by partner/CEO Jon Liebman and partner Cynthia Pett-Dante, who together acquired the company from former owner Brad Grey in July 2005 after Grey left to become chairman/CEO of the Paramount Motion Picture Group. Bernie founded The Brillstein Company in 1969 and renamed it Brillstein-Grey Entertainment in 1991.

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    Tom Shadyac Busts A New Move For Jesus

    By | Wednesday June 20, 2007 @ 3:25pm PDT

    tomjesus.JPGThe pandering to the Christian audience I’ve seen by everyone associated with Evan Almighty has made my head spin. The latest is this week’s Christian Today online interview with Tom Shadyac in which he talks about The Creator, quotes lines of Scripture and says ‘You’re not going to meet a bigger Jesus freak” than him. Oh. My. God. (Previous: ‘Evan Almighty’: Going To Heaven Or Hell?)

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    ‘Evan Almighty’: Going To Heaven Or Hell?

    By | Tuesday June 19, 2007 @ 3:38pm PDT

    tom3.jpgThere’s none of the usual reassuring platitudes. Instead, moguls at the studio are resorting to just plain prayers. Because Universal isn’t even trying to hide its nerves about the opening number this Friday for Hollywood’s most expensive comedy ever, Evan Almighty, or what the movie could make in gross receipts overall. Don’t get me wrong, it’ll open, either to the $50+ mil my box office gurus are projecting, or the $40 mil the studio is understating. (Every major is a master of lowered expectations this summer.) But, given the $210 mil budget, I’m told it needs $500 million worldwide to be really profitable. Universal, of course, calls this ”voodoo math”. It claims that the pic’s budget is only $175 mil and with no first-dollar gross players thanks to a renegotiation it can see a profit at $250 mil worldwide.

    So what’s the problem? The parents and kids tracking, which is not included as part of general tracking and therefore not immediately accessible to journalists. I’m told parents were rejecting this big summer film as appropriate family fare because they thought it was the exact sequel to Bruce Almighty and therefore too mature. evanalmighty_bigteaserposter.jpg(Other big four-quadrant PG blockbusters like Night At The Museum didn’t have to contend with this unique “sequel that isn’t really a sequel” situation.) “It’s awful. It hasn’t moved in weeks,” a source from a rival studio told … Read More »

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    De Niro And Scorsese Team Up Yet Again

    By | Tuesday June 19, 2007 @ 1:40pm PDT

    robert_de_niro_scorsese.jpgWhile recently promo-ing his The Good Shepherd, Robert De Niro said he had one particular desire over all: to do two more movies with Martin Scorsese and make it an even 10 they did together. I can report that No. 9 is underway. De Niro has long had lined up The Winter of Frankie Machine, based on the book about a retired hit man, and now I’m told that Scorsese is set to direct it for Paramount under his deal there. I understand the pic’s name has been shortened to just Frankie Machine. There’s no announcement yet, but I’ve heard this from a good source. Crime writer Don Winslow wrote the book after growing up with the children of his neighborhood Mafia bosses, so he understood the criminal mind behind the both_jpg.jpghit man who’s hounded out of a respectable retirement as the target of a hit himself. Despite his own history of brutality, the protagonist is actually quite likable — which explains why the manuscript was snapped up by De Niro even before it was published. Back in March, Variety reported that already Ocean’s Thirteen screenwriters Brian Koppelman and David Levien were writing the screenplay for De Niro. Bobby has talked before how he and Marty have started some projects over the years only to get distracted, and how they were both ”anxiously waiting” to come up with something. For the record, here are their 8 pics together: Mean Streets, Taxi Driver, New Read More »

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