
MONDAY AM: It’s officially a mega-hit for adventurer Indiana Jones after a 19-year hiatus. The 10th biggest Friday-through-Sunday in the U.S. of all time, the 5th biggest international opening of all time, Steven Spielberg’s biggest opener (passing War Of The Worlds), and George Lucas’s second best opener behind Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge Of The Sith.
This tentpole kept going strong all weekend despite the very mixed morning-after watercooler talk about whether the actioner was even worth watching — leading many Indy faithful to complain that Spielberg and Lucas just phoned it in. (But my sources maintain the filmmaking duo thought they’d made a good pic. Go figure.) The North American box office gross on Paramount’s Indiana Jones And The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull will be $151M for the 5-day Memorial Weekend (Thursday’s $25M, Friday’s $31M, Saturday’s $37M, and Sunday’s $33M as well as Monday’s expected $25M), $26M for the 4-day holiday, and $101M for FSS.
Internationally, Paramount’s Indy 4 is also piling up the box office gross. The foreign estimate through Monday is expected to be $160 million — shattering the record for Paramount’s best overseas opening previously held by the opening of Spielberg’s War Of The Worlds ($102M). So, with North America’s $151M total take through Monday, that’s a $311M worldwide haul.
In second place for the 3-day weekend was Disney/Walden’s successful sequel The Chronicles Of Narnia: Prince Caspian whose gross fell 58% from a week ago to a big $23M for FSS from 3,929 venues and $28.6M for the 4-day holiday for a new cume of $96.6M. (See below for the Top 10 chart.) It’s now taken in $49.3M overseas from 13 territories which represents an 11% increase over Narnia 1. The 3rd spot was another Paramount actioner, Marvel’s Iron Man, with $20.1M for FSS from 3,915 runs and $25.6M for the 4-day holiday for a giant new cume of $257.8M.
Indy‘s PG-13 fourquel opened at 12:01 AM Thursday into 4,260 theaters in North America and also day and date in 61 foreign territories (except Japan). Paramount saw some weakness in the tracking among teens. But that was made up for by nostalgia among adults: the problem is that those older moviegoers generally wait until the 2nd or 3rd weekend to screen a flick. And then there was the hot button issue of the film’s story quality, or lack there-of. In the end, none of these concerns mattered: Indy 4 kept piling up the box office dollars.
Here are the records Indy 4 couldn’t beat: The best 5-day opening ever was the humongous $172.8M recorded by 2005′s Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge Of The Sith. That pic also scored the best Thursday take of $50M; then again that pic finished out the prequel trilogy. The best Memorial Day Weekend was posted last summer by Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World’s End which also completed a trilogy; its 4 1/2-day opening posted $153.0M and its 5 1/2-day figure was $160.8M. Still another number to consider is what Spider-Man 3 did during its first 5 consecutive non-holiday days last May: $169.4M. Globally, the record number floating around is a high-wire act of $400+M for summer 2007, when both Spider-Man 3 and Pirates 3 sparred over which set the worldwide debut total. But Pirates 3 opened day and date in over 100+ foreign territories.)
Informed guesstimates from my box office gurus before the film opened ranged from a North American low of $142 million to a high of $175 million. I thought the answer lay somewhere inbetween — around $160M. Then again, that’s not taking into account how movie theaters are raising ticket prices by a dollar or two this summer because popcorn is more expensive. (According to news reports, next year’s corn stocks are expected to plunge to a 13-year low, corn-futures contracts have soared to an all-time high, and the sudden demand for ethanol will claim 40% of next year’s corn crop. Even the paper for the popcorn tubs is more expensive. So the profit margins at theaters which rely on concession sales for as much as 45% of their revenue are desperate to make up the difference.) Also, major theaters in cities are starting to charge the same for children as adults. The result is that Indy 4‘s grosses fattened while filmgoers’ finances thinned. No wonder the public feels increasingly ripped off at the cineplex.
Here’s the Top 10 chart as of Sunday AM:
1. Indiana Jones 4 (Paramount) — 3-Day Wkd: $101M, 4-day holiday $126M, Cume: $151.1M
2. Chronicles of Narnia 2 (Disney) – 3-Day Wkd: $23M, 4-day holiday $28.6M, Cume: $96.6M
3. Iron Man (Paramount) — 3-Day Wkd: $20M, 4-day holiday $25.6M, Cume: $257.8M
4. What Happens In Vegas (Fox) — 3-Day Wkd: $9M, 4-day holiday $11.1M, Cume: $56.3M
5. Speed Racer (Warner Bros) — 3-Day Wkd: $3.9M, 4-day holiday $5.2M, Cume: $37.4M
6. Baby Mama (Universal) — 3-Day Wkd: $3.3M, 4-day holiday $4.2M, Cume: $53M
7. Made Of Honor (Sony) — 3-Day Wkd: $3.4M, 4-day holiday $4.2M, Cume: $39.8M
8. Forgetting Sarah Marshall (Universal) — 3-Day Wkd: $1.6M, 4-day holiday $2.1M, Cume: $58.7M
9. Harold and Kumar 2 (Warner Bros) — 3-Day Wkd: $915K, 4-day holiday $1.2M, Cume: $36.1M
10. The Visitor (Overture) — 3-Day Wkd: $781K, 4-day holiday $917K, Cume: $4.5M
(Photo of Spanish tourists exiting an Indy 4 screening in Los Angeles by Jim Stevenson.)
For more estimates listed by title, see box office results here...Editor-in-Chief Nikki Finke - tip her here.


Nikki, I’m not really following your logic. If it made less that half of Revenge of the Sith’s opening day, how can it be expected to achieve anywhere near that film’s 5-day total? Even the “low” $142 million estimate looks absurdly generous to me.
Bob Loblaw (love the Arrested Development reference),
To put it simply Star Wars frontloads a hell of a lot more than Indiana Jones. If I recall correctly Sith drew well over $15 mil on midnight showings alone which speaks to what a presing Day One imperitive it had. It also attracted more young men than Indy (which tracks a bit older) who are the principle audience in a day one weekday release. Plus, let’s not kid ourselves, Star Wars has a much bigger geek factor than Indy which is the big cause for the big upfront Thursday money. Indy will play extremely well all weekend and will maintain great legs ending up comfortably over $300 million.
Considering the film is basically unwatchable and a disaster, I’m wondering how long it’s going to take word of mouth to kick in.
8:15 multiplex show in Austin, Texas and my screening was sold out. Seems to be selling out all the evening screenings here. Crowd seemed to enjoy the film.
No Way Indy is touching 150 million over the long weekend.
And it won’t be touching 300 million in it’s entire run.
Raiders was very good.Last Crusade and Doom were fine.
Times have changed, Indy mania has thinned considerably.
I just don’t understand this obsessive talk about how much a movie will make.
“It made 20 mil on the first day…..no no it mad 22 mil,….hmmm the record stands on 25 mil…..well then it must be a flop then???
If people are so interested in these numbers,why not just wait for monday when the actual numbers are released.
It’s so pointless.
It is sad to say it, but this is not a good film. The first 20 minutes show great promise…but shortly after that, the film falls apart. There are too many characters in the film…specifically too many good guys. John Hurt’s character was not needed and Karen Allen could have easily been used to deliver the story exposition that Hurt’s character, I suspect, a fill in for Sean Connery, attempts to deposit. Amid a low point in the mayhem, we hear a tale about lost Spanish Soldiers who’s fate is discovered by Hurt’s character, a lost archeologist…unimportant story details which cause the film to drag, and should have been cut from the movie. And then there is the double agent–I won’t identify him for those who haven’t seen the movie, but he gets in the way–once was fine, but by about the 6th time it was entirely too much!!!
As for the story, McGuffin after McGuffin…it was all over the place. This should have been a great film about someone stealing the Ark of The Covenant from the Americans and Indy having to find it again…in order to use it against a great evil. But no, we just got a movie that repeatedly referenced the best moments of Raiders…and the worst moments of it’s sequels…and time after time, these scenes were copied…but not approved upon…no, they were greatly diminished!!!
Next, CGI effects were used to animate photo-realistic Ground Hogs and Monkies…for comedy slap-stick antics which played like cartoons. The tone of the film was off…as scenes like that, and Shia Labeouf’s Tarzan vine swinging sequence seemed out of place, something better suited for a immature child themed film…and don’t make me mention the awful waterfall sequence.
Karen Allen was under used here, and strangely Cate Blanchett was the only shinning moment in the film…in fact, she stole every scene that she was in, and I am not even a fan of her’s, or at least, I wasn’t until I saw this movie. The camera loves her. She is smart and over sexy at every turn…and that is a good, and even great, thing. I think I fell in love with her. Talk about being gorgeous, charismatic and dominating!!! A love triangle between Blanchett’s character and that of Indy and his lady love as played by Allen, would have raised the proceedings, but alas, that was not to be.
Unfortunately, one could sense that numerous writers pieced the film’s script together as it was often disjointed, sloppy and embarrassing to watch. There was almost zero character development and no real emotionally engaging points for the characters. The audience knew everyone would survive, leaving the impression that the characters were never in any real danger. There were no real high stakes for the characters and that is the film’s main failing.
The critics were generally favorable but it’s taken all of 24 hours for the backlash to officially become ingrained in the net community. Certain key creative decisions regarding content and execution are being second guessed into oblivion and Lucas is being targeted as the primary scapegoat whom everyone’s eager to hang out to dry because of his perceived past story transgressions with the prequels. Having seen the movie myself yesterday evening I have to admit a lot of the outrage is not undeserved: it’s unquestionably the weakest of the series and seems to have been made primarily to make a buck quickly because there’s no sense of vitality to the storytelling that the three key players (SS/GL/HF) allegedly agonized over until it met their rigid demands. I’m sensing that Spielberg and Ford, eager to put an end to their mutual blockbuster drought, were tired of waiting until the stars aligned perfectly because of the age factor so they cobbled this thing together using spare story parts from previous proposed versions that got nixed and the final result consequently suffered from a lack of real focus or cohesive direction. It may be serviceable summer adventure escapism but sadly it doesn’t pass muster when compared with the set standard of what should’ve been a definitive trilogy of closure and finality.
I was at a 12:01 showing. A 300 seat theater was at about 260, and today shows were running at about 95% capacity daytime, 100% after 4pm on three screens. Those kind of numbers mirrored Ironman locally. Considering the long weekend, based on past performances in this same theater-plex, I would see 140 mill over the weekend as very doable, provided the word of mouth factor doesn’t kick in fast. Its a holiday weekend, word of mouth badpress usually rears its ugly head on weekend number 2 with dropoffs in the neighborhood of 70% over opening. General consensus was that IJ4 was “exactly” what they expected, but hoped for spectacular. Personally, I hated the opening scene. There was way too much cheese in the first 5 min.
Anyone who believes that Indy 4 won’t make money is an idiot.
Unwatchable?
Ridiculous.
The movie is easily as good as Last Crusade.
One thing to consider when trying to figure the number is that the Thursday opening might be expected to be smaller than it might be in a non-holiday weekend as a fraction of total ticket sales this weekend. While many were ready to go out for opening night, many others don’t start their long weekend until work is done on Friday and weren’t about to catch a flick Thursday night.
So let’s not count out a possible run up to 150 mil yet. I shouldn’t expect Thursday to be more than a sixth of that total for a holiday weekend.
“Considering the film is basically unwatchable”???
Have you actually seen the movie? It is a very solid film. I need to preface that by saying that if you enjoy Indiana Jones movies, you will enjoy this one.
If you didn’t see the first 3, 4 will leave you scratching your head.
Is it far fetched? You betcha, what indy film wasn’t?
I’ve waited many years for this movie as I did phantom menace. I left indy 4 a happy man, I left phantom menace thinking what have they done??
Comment by Socratores — May 22, 2008 @ 10:38 pm
Hope you see the fun in all this. It is things like this that rocks our boats, guesstimation on the BO potential of a movie. Some do get carried away and throwing ‘fur-ball’ at each other’s posting but it is all in the name of good fun
25M is a good start for a old franchise. The only way is up hereonwards
Oh! One more thing, I read the reviews and loads of them are saying how old Harrison is in this movie. He is old, he has aged, just like ALL OF US. What we’re expecting? A botox-filled young Indiana? Sheesh! Or maybe the the kind of CGI-effects you get in X-Men 3 with Dr X and Magnito in the opening scene digitally ‘younged’ on screen? How creepy is that?
I agree the numbers are pointless, especially since Nikki reports kids being charged adult prices in some places, inflated prices etc. Why not just tally up the number of tickets sold regardless of revenue, otherwise you have this endless “money=popular/good” argument.
The Geek audience for Star Wars movies is definitely more front loaded. That made the midnight showings much more heavily attended. I desperately wanted to see Indy last night (as did my two teenage daughters and my wife), but with school and work today, we put off our trip to the cinema until the weekend. I think the more adult skewing Indy will have a spectacular weekend. It’s more family oriented than Star Wars, has the action to bring in the boys, the nostalgia and Harrison for the geezers, and has a not-so-secret-weapon in Shia who will draw teenage girls (who might not care as much for a Spiderman or Star Wars film). This is a rare Summer Film that can hit all demographics, so do not underestimate it.
They didn’t tinker with the elements that worked in the first three films, and that’s exactly what people wanted. Doesn’t matter if it’s the least of the four, or if it’s the best.
This movie will be a phenominal success because there’s nothing else quite like it out there, and because it’s appeal isn’t limited to people who have to see a movie in it’s opening weekend or they don’t bother. It’ll play strong through the 4th.
Ignoring what the movie critics say, people want to be entertained and they’ll go see this movie. The only thing that will hurt it is if the viewing public agree with the critics and word of mouth dampers enthusiasm to see it. Chance are that won’t happen even though George LucASS can’t write to save his life. Lucky for him he has such a huge following that he could pen another Star Wars movie of Yoda humping Jabba The Hut’s leg for 2 hours and the Star Wars fans would eat it up and say it’s a great movie.
With about three good movies put out every year nowadays, going to the movies is like digging for your Crackerjack prize. Who knows what you’ll get. With outrageous ticket prices I not only wait past opening weekend, I wait for the little red envelope in my mailbox.
I took my family to the theater last night to see the new Indiana Jones movie. I was pleasantly surprised to find there were no lines that formed hours prior to the movie start time and the theaters were pretty much empty. However, the movie was horrible when compared to other Indiana Jones’ movies. First off, could there be any more cliches in the story line? The writer went a little overboard…. Now Indy meets aliens????WTF??? I expect this movie will do well, as you have already noted, but will not surpass any major benchmarks set by the other films you mentioned. Especially when word gets out that the movie sucked! But, to each his own. You may love it!
This movie sucked.
the real ?
Did people use their $600 tax rebate to see this movie?
Imagine if there were no extra money to see the film? … What would it all mean?
Here’s why it WILL be big. How many people do you think will be looking for “cheap” entertainment as the price of gas continues to go through the roof? I know I already am. I will take my two sons, ages 9 and 13 to see it….and that is about it for the Memorial weekend. There is no way I’m taking out the Yamaha Waverunners when it will run me about $140 for a days fun. Times are tough….a new economic dynamic needs to be realized.
This film is enjoyable, but for a surprising reason: the relationships. Watching Indy, Miriam and Mutt adventure together was more fun than the adventure itself.
I agree with Curious; once people hear from friends how bad it is (I’d give it a C- and that’s generous), a lot of them aren’t going to waste $7 or $8 on a ticket. The forums on Rotten Tomatoes are buzzing with how bad it is. I can’t believe the critics didn’t do their jobs and forewarn us.
And for the long haul, who’s going to watch it again?
The problem I see, which was the problem with the second in the series as well is the foundational premise of the story a Crystal Skull/ET??? Religious artifacts such as the Ark or the Cup of Crist really strikes a chord with people on an emotional level but this is more like Indy meets the X-Files. The Temple of Doom had this problem and I am surprised theses Hollywood giants don’t understand the power of Western Religious Symbology. People want to believe the bible tells a deeper truth about a past the truly existed and that stirs the imagination more than anything. We’ve had X-Files for a long time now so why go there???