SATURDAY PM/SUNDAY AM: With a big pricetag of $175 million, and bad buzz preceding it, Paramount’s G.I. Joe: The Rise Of Cobra seemed certain to tank. Then the Stephen Sommers- directed pic came on tracking with incredibly high awareness among males. Now, despite all the sniping and snarking, it’s the 2nd biggest August domestic opener for a non-sequel, and a $100M worldwide hit — giving Paramount three big summer movies (+ Star Trek and Transformers 2). But what the studio predicted this AM to be a $60M North American weekend turned into a mojo-losing $56.2M opener. G.I. Joe earned $22.2M Friday but dropped -16% for only $18.2M Saturday despite a huge release into 4,007 theaters. The pic even made a ” B+” CinemaScore (“A-” for under 18). This would be a great result if the film weren’t so expensive. True, Spyglass Entertainment shared the cost, and I’ve learned everyone’s deals were restructured so there was no first-dollar gross paid out. The studio now must rely on other revenue streams. “This property will sell 100′s of millions of dollars of Hasbro toys that we get a royalty in,” a Paramount exec claims. “And given the action, this will be a huge seller on DVD.” Maybe.
G.I. Joe also opened day and date in 75% of its foreign territories. Although I’ve heard reports from rival studios that ticket sales were “disappointing” in Australia (where the pic opened #2 to the Sony romantic comedy Ugly Truth), early numbers from Spain, France, Russia, Asia and Latin America are said to be “very good”. Same with Korea where the actor who plays Storm Shadow — Byung-Hung Lee is a big star. Overseas grosses this weekend are pegged at $44.3M — despite some Anti-American military sentiments. (In the movie, U.S. military operatives are joined by international elite forces. Foreign actors were cast in major roles. Paris and Egypt were some of the locales. But, c’mon, this movie is called G.I. Joe!)
In the U.S., the studio expected the film to do best in so-called flyover country — the term Hollywood bestows on blue-collar moviegoers in the Midwest, South, and West where the common complaint is that liberal elites don’t make movies for their “God, guns, and country” tastes. Indeed, this pic’s strength is that it doesn’t suffer from any moral ambiguity: there are good guys, bad guys, and nothing inbetween. But I don’t see how G.I. Joe can get to Paramount’s predicted $300M worldwide. Especially when, next weekend, the pic will get blown away by the Peter Jackson-produced highly praised sci-fi blockbuster District 9 (2009 Comic-Con: ‘District 9′s Peter Jackson).
By contrast, Sony Pictures’ Julie & Julia had an almost exclusively female audience, a production cost of only $40M but an expensive marketing campaign, a release into just 2,975 venues, and massive free media coverage because of its subject matter — American cooking icon Julia Child. “This was maybe the oldest audience I can remember: 55% of the moviegoers were over the age of 50,” a rival studio exec tells me. The result was that Nora Ephron’s foodie pic claimed to make back half of its budget with its projected opening weekend – a claim rival studios dispute. The Meryl Streep-Amy Adams starrer made a $7.5M debut Friday and then got that adult bump – +20% — Saturday for $7.8M. (Thanks to a Cinemascore of “A” for both males and females: “A-” under 35, “A” over 35). With a good Sunday, the pic could get above $20.1M.
After that, no films cracked $10M this weekend. Jerry Bruckheimer’s first 3-D effort, G-Force, for Disney, was 3rd with $2.8M Friday and $4.1M Saturday from 3,482 theaters for a $9.8M weekend and cume of $86.1M. Warner Bros’ Harry Potter And The Half-Blood Prince lost steam and came in #4 with $2.4M Friday and $3.7M Saturday from 3,455 runs for a $8.8M weekend and a cume of $273.8M.
Last weekend’s #1 Funny People dropped a massive -72% Friday to No. 5. The Universal dramedy from Judd Apatow starring Adam Sandler and Seth Rogen made just $2.4M Friday and $3M Saturday for a $7.9M weekend — -65% — and $40.5M cume from 3,005 plays. The studio must be sitting shiva.
Sony Pictures’ Ugly Truth was #6 with $2.2M Friday and $2.6M Saturday for $7M and cume of $69M.
And, opening in just the 7th spot, Relativity’s Rogue continues its losing streak of pics with Perfect Getaway, which opened to only $2M Friday and $2.2M Saturday from 2,975 venues for a $5.8M weekend. The movie was distributed by Universal into 2,159 dates. (Of course, bankroller Relativity claims that foreign and tax credits covered the budget, and they have lost no money on Rogue films. And I have swampland in Arizona to sell you…)
No. 8 was Fox’s Aliens In The Attic with a $4M weekend from 3,108 theaters for a $16.2M cume. And 9th was Dark Castle/Warner Bros’ shameful adoption- bashing Orphan with a $3.7M weekend from 2,270 dates for a $34.8M cume. Rounding up the Top 10 is Fox Searchlight’s 500 Days Of Summer which expanded to 800 runs and did $3.7M this weekend for a $12.3M cume.
Overall, the weekend looks to finish with $147M, up at least 22% over last year’s 120.2M.
Editor-in-Chief Nikki Finke - tip her here.


How did “Joe” generate so much buzz from that awful trailer? I don’t know much about the movie itself, but the trailer looked atrocious. Worse movies have looked like Best Pictures in their previews compared to this.
Can’t wait for the sequel…”Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell Joe.”
Go Joe!!! I smell franchise.
Looks like Paramount’s strategy of shielding the film from those snobby coast elitists and focusing on selling it to the heartland of this great nation has paid off in glorious dividends!
Really hope this movie does well for a number of those involved.
Say what you want about Channing Tatum but in an industry full of dick heads, you WILL not find a nicer guy. Same goes for Marlon Wayans.
Joseph Gordon Levitt is a great actor although I wasn’t totally thrilled with how he was used in this movie. Would have actually rather seen him throw on 15lbs of muscle and play Duke.
And maybe Ray Park will get some love after this. The guy is just amazing. His story line with Byung hun- Lee was one of the more interesting of the film.
And Rachel Nichols… yummy.
So I guess all that talk about it only tracknig a $30mill opening weekend was all BS right. $55mill isn’t bad at all and I’m guessing G.I.J will also have some pretty good word of mouth. I mean regardles what others thought about it I actually enjoyed it quite a bit honestly and while it’s far from perfect atleast it was an acceptable big budget, dumb action summer blockbuster. Something Transformers 2 tried to be and failed.
keeping in mind that dhd does go overboard with early friday numbers(mostly it does)…40 million weekend looks likely (17 + 13 + 10)
the budget for this one is 170 million though…if it opens to 50 million, it might make 135 at most.
It wasn’t tracking at $30 million. Not sure where you’re getting that from. Much higher.
hmmm…i would be surprised if it had a good internal multiplier.
20 * 2.75 = 55.
it is definitely going to drop on sat.
mummy 3 opened to 40 and ended it’s run at 105. this one can’t do much better. 50 and 125 maybe?
yup, the reported budget was 170 and the marketing was pretty intense too.
transformers was a franchise because it was so profitable. 150 million budget. made 320 million in usa, and 380 more outside the us.
this one ain’t a mummy…more like a van helsing
@Abhishek
I don’t mean to be a dick but you’ve gotta think about the big picture, that being the WORLD.
There’s no way it’s going to open at less than 45-50. Not much competition for the next few weeks means it’ll have fairly stable legs. But the REAL story is it’s international cume. Paramount was brilliant to cast Korean star Byung-hun Lee (only other option could have been Rain) as Storm Shadow. Anyone who’s lived or traveled in Asia knows that Korean and Chinese stars are stars across the entire continent. The film will have huge success in International markets due to the international flavor of its cast and international locales. $300-400million total cume.
for flyover country?
i can care less about GI JOE, but the concept of “flyover” country reeks of snobbery.
git with it nikki…….told ya.
Hey American Patriot,
You are only aloud to comment if Drudge links here. Come on, you know the rules. Go back to heckling your congressman to cancel your government provided medicare.
Sincerely,
The Coasts
I live in rural North Dakota and just got back from the 10 p.m. showing of G.I. Joe. We got their late and the theater was damn near packed. True, it was full of mostly guys (some on dates, most with groups of friends), but the sentiment afterward was that a lot of people went in with low expectations and walked out pleasantly surprised.
I don’t know how many “rape my childhood” jokes we threw out as the Paramount and Hasbro titles rolled, but we were all pleased to be silenced by it. In a group of five, all but one of us walked out happy with the movie we saw and even that one guy still thought was entertaining enough.
The high points of the movie are Rachel Nichols as Scarlett (watch the offers come rolling in for her), JGL as the young Cobra Commander and, surprisingly, Marlon Waynes as Ripcord, who was funny and had some LOL moments.
Hate to say the downfall was Channing Tatum. I don’t know if it was the stale writing for Duke, or the fact that he’s just a wooden actor, but I for one expected more of him and wasn’t all that impressed. But, because the movie relies so heavily on the ensemble, Tatum is not forced to carry the movie by any means.
Is it better than Transformers 2? You be the judge. It’s not better than Transformers 1, that’s for sure, but it’s still not a complete waste of money if you like action/adventure movies.
@ abhishek
you’re retarded
This is a film with no plot, little dialogue, and lots of CGI. Just like that other film, Transformers 2. Oh yeah, and lots and lots of explosions.
Perfect for summer escapism from all our problems. Let’s get our aggression out by blowing stuff the phuck up on film!!!!
Remember, crowds will always stop to watch a train wreck…
Just saw it at Paramount where I thought the audience would be partisan. The laughs were suppressed for the first half but, by the second half, it wasn’t possible to hold back.
The dialogue is so ridiculous and acting is so flat. The action scenes showed no restraint and the effects looked terrible. You certainly get an overload of action but you aren’t emotionally invested so none of it matters.
I thought the biggest disappointment was Channing who does nothing to show any versatility. I know he is compared to Chris Pine but they are clearly on two totally different levels. It’s amazing, Lorenzo makes two of the crappiest films of the year and both make bank. I’m pretty sure he isn’t worried about THE GOODS eating into the second week…
GI Joe was a terrible movie. A Spy Kids caliber action film meant for 8 year olds with awful effects. I think this movie will lose some steam during its own weekend. Internationally this will do very well.
what the F..k?….sorry.
It’s been the movie event of the week many have been talking about in my area of the country. So, I’m not surprised. This is going to be huge and alot bigger than most analysts were speculating. Actuals will put it closer to 25 million overnight and Saturday will be over 25 million and another strong Sunday will put this thing over 60 million making Paramount once again brilliant marketers. A series of last minute trailers midweek that were spot on and great buzz following the Thursday midnight shows also helped to solidfy this picture as a must see event.
I saw G.I. Joe tonight. Sick that it was a “multinational” force. It was OK but I haven’t figured out if the chase through Paris was one of the best or worst special effects I have ever seen.
Tatum needs to go back to the dancing movies. He certainly is not an action star.
I viewed GI JOE with no expectations and was pleasantly surprised. The action was a lot more entertaining than Transformers 2. Wayans and Byun-hun Lee were great fun to watch. Can’t say the same is true for Sienna Miller’s distracting hair or the terrible outfits the females had to walk around in or the many close-ups of Channing Tatum, who often seemed a bit cross-eyed. WTF?
JULIE & JULIA was “good enough” while I watched it, even though the last scenes were horribly schmaltzy and disappointing and Julie was way too weak and uninteresting. The more I think about the movie, the worse it gets.
The Ephronization of the Julie Powell char is disgusting, sad and another example of what’s wrong with female movie chars today. JFC. Her book is sarcastic fun and edgy so that one would expect to see a Janeane Garofalo-type — a character Ellen Page (pre-Juno) would play.
Because she’s such a watered down good-girl and her husband an extremely good-looking total saint, their fight came out of left field and was utterly ridic, didn’t ring true at all.
Extremely disappointing that the stories don’t merge in the end. I too would prefer to see two separate movies. One about Julia Child’s career incl. TV and one about the real egg-donating New Yorker Julie Powell. Diablo Cody comes to mind for the latter…
A Paramount exec predicted that the film will do $300m worldwide and they are happy with that number?!!!
First they try and spin Trek’s underwhelming (for a major tentpole pic) worldwide gross of less than $400m (which The Hangover will easily beat) and now they are beating their chest about $300m being a triumph?
Give me a break. The simple fact of the matter is GI Joe should have cost $100m, at the very most. A budget of (at least) $175m for a live action, irony free Team America is a joke in itself.
But in saying that, kudos to the marketing team at Paramount. The buzz on this pic couldn’t have been worse but they managed to turn it around.
Imagine what they could do if the films Paramount made were actually any good!
Between Nikki’s “flyover country” post and CTSadler’s subliterate riposte about those who are “aloud to comment” (by the way, fuckwit, the health care bill ITSELF essentially cancels Medicare, which is what has old folks scared), I’d say the Straw Drudge Boogeyman has been fairly effectively set up and knocked down.
G.I.JOE? Who gives a shit. Wake me when they start making movies for adults. I say “they” rather than “you”, because 90% of you people posting here are wannabes and everyone knows it.
G.I. Joe is doing well this weekend for the same reason that all these movies made from old TV shows do: people who used to watch G.I. Joe as kids are going to see it. It’s nostalgia. Doesn’t matter if the movie blows.
And teenage boys will go see anything that has weapons and action.
Reviews and previews matter mostly for new things, when people have no idea what to expect.
Nikki – Please don’t let those flacks at SONY sell you their bs. First of all no Nora Ephron picture (shooting in PAris and NY with those two stars costs $40 million). I used to work there – the budget was closer to $65 million. TRUE!!! Now, let’s talk marketing. They bought on the food network (VERY, VERY EXPENSIVE) They block bought, and overspent, inundating the market with ads. While they might have gotten “free media” – they didn’t get free tv. Rival marketing heads are guesstimating that SONY spent upwards of $40 million dollars to open their film. Maybe that’s the $40 million they were talking about.
You need to report the truth – there was NOTHING cheap about J and J.
‘G.I. Joe’ is hitting a chord with the heartland of America? They do realize there is a person of color in it, right?