NBC is putting Jay Leno in the cat food aisle, but Time magazine has put Jay Leno on its cover this week. Unbelievably, there’s nothing new in the article (and people wonder why print media is dying). There’s just one interesting quote from, of all people, former NBC President Fred Silverman: “If the Leno Show works, it will be the most significant thing to happen in broadcast television in the last decade.” But I’ve been asking NBC repeatedly what is the metric that’ll be used to determine if the Jay Leno show is successful? In response, I get a lot of “ums” and “ers”. And yet, Time magazine says “NBC has set the bar low enough for a sleeping man to clear. If Leno can just get the ratings he did in late night, some 5 million viewers (paltry by 10 p.m. standards), his show will be more profitable than what it replaced in that time slot, reps say.” Leno himself laughs off the networks’ numbers obsession, recently telling someone I know, “I have no idea how that works. Just because I like women doesn’t mean I want to be a gynecologist.” But only a compliant newsmagazine would accept that NBC metric without laughing out loud at the ridiculousness of it. For crissakes, advertisers already have balked at paying primetime rates for what will be the Leno Show‘s late night ratings. And let’s remember that Leno’s primetime ratings still won’t equal those of the worst viewed scripted 10 PM show. Once again, this is Jeff Zucker managing for margins, not ratings. (But I’m told he now regrets his statement last March that “I don’t think we’ll ever be able to say, ‘NBC is No. 1 in prime time.’”)
Meanwhile, I can tell you that Leno is telling pals NBC has not given his Jay Leno Show even one fresh or significant idea for the new show. “Not one idea,” Leno has confided. The result is that the Jay Leno Show will be identical to Jay’s familiar format except in chronology: monologue, comics doing filmed segments, guest interviews, then end with those those lame Jaywalking and All-Stars bits. Which just shows how badly NBC needs a real leader. I still recall how, in late 1993 when NBC was in last place, Don Ohlmeyer came in and the first thing he did was to retool Jay’s Tonight Show. What’s Jeff Gaspin doing? (Blank stares…) One last thing — if the Leno Show doesn’t work, Jay thinks no one will even remember. And that his legacy will be that he hosted The Tonight Show for 17 years.
Editor-in-Chief Nikki Finke - tip her here.







Working Actor says it very well.
“… people like to be surprised, they like change, they like newness, they like to embrace quality, they like to see quality with longevity, they are intrigued by art, their tastes and interests are somewhat defined by hits and misses, they love stars, they like to see actors become stars, they like to escape through art, they like to learn about themselves and others through fictional stories, and they love to be entertained. No shareholder base or corporate monster can embrace all these audience needs by just programming for margins. And art/entertainment isn’t like washers and dryers — we want the same thing from our washers and dryers day in and day out, but not the same from our art/entertainment.”
Well said. These are the qualities that make hits.
Raymond Forchion
Why does something tell me that whatever Leno gets will be termed a “success” by NBC. They have a habit of defining failure as success. The demos will be interesting.
I wish Leno the best – it looks like a pretty weak fall season.
If Leno fails, NBC will definitely not return to dramas at 10:00 p.m.
Exactly. This is the main reason why I’m not mad at Jay. IMO NBC had already decided to get rid of 5 hours of scripted programming, and this just offered them the simplest way at the time to fill the five hours.
Here’s a great quote that may shed light on why NBC is simply attaching itself to a dying, remake strategy — tipping point anyone? –>
Alan Press, senior vice president of marketing for THE ECONOMIST to foliomag.com:
“There is a myth that people are looking for sound-bites and celebrity and that this has led to a growing demand for and acceptance of commoditized news output that speaks to the lowest common denominator.
The reality is that there is a growing demand among the educated for intelligent news, analysis and entertainment that challenges, amuses and informs.”
As a casual TV viewer who watches enough that there are three HD screens in the house, I have to ask: just WHO is watching all these “network” programming? It’s with some pride that I say that I’ve NEVER seen an episode of “ER,” “CSI,” “NCIS,” “Lost,” “Cold Case,” “Criminal Minds,” “Gray’s Anatomy” or any of the other myriad formulaic, cookie-cutter dramas that the networks somehow believe are so valuable. Who WATCHES this stuff anyway? A better question is: when you DO watch any of these shows, what sensations do you feel afterward? Elation… satisfaction… fulfillment from being supremely entertained? I didn’t think so. When you actually THINK about it, you quickly realized that you’ve completely KILLED an hour of your life — without a genuine thought coursing through your head. When former FCC Commissioner Newton Minnow termed television a “vast wasteland” back in the sixties, he wasn’t whistling Dixie.
As for Leno, I’m hardly a fan. The few times I’ve watched over the past 16 years, I come away saying, “Gee… didn’t that guy used to be funny?” Now I can not watch even earlier.
Who’s watching? The confederacy of dunces that compose the majority of the human race.
So, nobody’s even talking about the juxtaposition of Jay’s head with the “M” in the Time logo looking like devil’s horns?
Another thing to remember too the New Leno Show is going to up against some strong franchises: CSI series on CBS; that’s going to be telling for Monday and Wednesday nights. Especially when they have thier audiences already. Will some desert CSI New York and CSI Miami for Leno. Also the Mentalist is scheduled for Thursday too. So Zucker is up agains to some strong competition. Now with Leno on in primetime will it hurt or help NBC? That remains to be seen.
I like Jay just fine. But, realistically, if there’s even something remotely close to an event happening in a competing drama at 10pm, I’m gonna watch that, because I know Jay will be on the next night. Why watch last night’s Jay on DVR when there’s a new Jay the next day?
I know NBC came down hard on the Boston affil that was going to pre-empt Jay, but that was just one station. What if, in six weeks, there are 30 or 40 that decide to do it?
And, if the tune out starts with Jay, it’ll affect not only the late local news but also Conan.
Exactly. Plus, I think Jay will have a horrible first week with lots going on in the world. The only reason why CBS has those formula shows on the air is because they repeat well and repeats of CSI Miami, New York, The Mentalist, and Numb3rs will be number one at 10 PM. Finally, there is the season premiere of Monday Night Football as well as the rest of the NFL. As for dramas, NBC will be forced to air something at 10 PM just to keep the local stations happy. In the end, the only reason why Nikki was picking on NBC and not any other network is because NBC is the top story and has been for the balance of this year. If there is anything big to report on another network such as Les Moonves’s health problems to Stephen McPherson getting canned right before the Emmys, she will report it.