UPDATE: Netflix CEO Reed Hastings in today’s earnings call says the company’s much-ballyhooed deal to license the original TV series House of Cards is merely a test — and a relatively modest one at that. “I don’t know if it’s anything we’d bet the farm on, but we’re willing to try it with a little bit of our budget,” he told Wall Street analysts. He said in a letter to shareholders that Netflix might make “two or three similar, but smaller, deals” to see whether “we can efficiently build a big audience for a well-produced serialized show.” He said, in his note, that the characterization of Netflix as “rerun TV” is “fundamentally correct.”
Hastings told analysts, though, that he was intrigued by the performance of Starz’ Spartacus, which was also available on Netflix. It “opened our eyes” to the possibility that a show might develop a bigger buzz, and more TV viewers, when it runs on the Web as well as conventional TV. Meanwhile, Hastings says that Netflix is “working hard” to offer its streamed content to Android-powered smartphones and tablet computers. “It’s a big priority for us.” As for the competition in Web-delivered video, Hastings says he’s as eager as anyone to see what his rivals have planned. “We really don’t know what Dish (Network) is up to” with its acquisition of Blockbuster,” he adds. “A big market attracts a lot of competition.”
PREVIOUS, 1:30 PM: Netflix continues to strengthen the sense of inevitability that it will become a must-have service for Web users who want to watch professionally produced entertainment. It said Monday that it ended the first quarter with a net profit of $60 million, up 88% vs. the same period last year, on revenues of $719 million, up 46%. That comes to $1.11 in earnings per share. In January the company told investors that revenue could go as high as $717 million while earnings would come in between 90 cents and $1.13 a share. Even though Netflix often beats its own guidance, analysts considered that ambitious: The consensus was $703.6 million and $1.08.
Most underestimated Netflix’s appeal to the fast-growing number of people watching movies and TV shows via broadband. It had 23.6 million global subscribers at the end of March, a gain of 3.6 million so far in 2011 and close to the 23.7 million at the top of the target range it set for itself in January. That makes Netflix the largest subscription entertainment service, surpassing Comcast’s 22.8 million subscribers and Sirius XM’s 20.2 million. Some 22.8 million of Netflix’s customers are in the U.S. Now the company says it expects to have as many as 25.9 global million subscribers at the end of June. It projects second quarter revenues of as much as $798 million, and earnings per share as high as $1.15.
The results come as studios and other content providers are trying to figure out how to deal with Netflix as it morphs from a DVD by mail service into a Web power. Over the last year the company cut high-priced deals to add recent movies from Relativity Media and an original TV series – House Of Cards – to the odd array of old or niche movies and TV shows that subscribers can stream whenever they want. Meanwhile Amazon, Apple, Facebook, YouTube, HBO, as well as pay TV distributors have launched rival Web video services.
The Netflix shares, up more than 40% in 2011, dipped about 3% in after-hours trading after closing at $251.67. We’ll have more after 6:00 ET, when the company holds a conference call to answer questions from Wall Street analysts.


THIS STOCK IS ONE BIG ! BIG! BUBBLE – STAY AWAY !!!!
Global costumers? I thought you had to be in the US to be able to subscribe to Netflix
HBO started like this: they showed everyone else’s content until they’d made enough money to produce their own content. Netflix didn’t reinvent the wheel but simply saw a new way in. Very smart. And far from a bubble.
Netflix isn’t a cable replacement as it’s stock is priced, it’s a cable channel replacement at best. When all the devices Netflix is now on have browsers, I can get directly to the studios and networks content – or go to my cable providers option… you know, the companies who are paying the studios and networks and I don’t need no stinkin (no content havin) Netflix. Everyone wants everything all the time for free, but it doesn’t usually work out that way. Good luck NFLX.
All I know is, I’m mainlining Criterions as fast as I can.
The dirty secret of Hollywood is that there is tons of content out there. The question is who will deliver a lot of it easily and at a good price. The problem for the cable providers is they got greedy, and overpriced their service (creating a market for Netflix). The problem for the studios is they make money over charging cable and networks for product (and used that money to inflate the budgets of new production). Netflixs offers lots of choices very cheaply. It puts a bind both on the cable providers and the studios. The cable providers will have to fight back by lowering the cost of service (something they don’t want to do). The studios will find they can’t over charge to make up for bloated production costs, because at the end of the day, if Netflix customers don’t have the choice of some particular program, they’ll just watch another. Netflix simply needs to have a lot of stuff for people to watch, and there’s a lot of product out there looking for eyeballs. Sure, they will pay to have some choice high budget films as lost leaders, but at the end of the day, a lot of customers are perfectly happy to watch old reruns of television shows that can’t find a home in syndication and will be sold for whatever Netflix is willing to pay. And if the studios get too tough on pricing, there’s a lot of independent film out there that is desperate for distribution.
The studios won’t make a competitor to netflix because that would mean sharing profits. You notice with all the success Hulu has had it is still hampered by the studios with limited content and the studios refusal to allow Hulu to be integrated onto various devices like Netflix. I had a PS3 that allowed Hulu access via Sony’s browser when I first got it 4yrs ago. A year later access was blocked on the PS3. It wasn’t until this year via Hulu Plus was I able to access the service. Similar situations have occurred with other devices ie smartphones.
The point being people want to go to one place to get streaming content from all the studios. Right now netflix is the the best option. Even that has flaws since I still goto amazon.com for new releases. Netlfix competitors blockbuster, vudu etc will face the same roadblock and that is content provided by the studios. Until that issue is resolved Netflix will continue to grow.
Am I pointing out the obvious that the studio distribution model is about to be consumed (and assumed) by internet and cable companies? Is the long tale coming for the small tale? Especially with Google opening up a studio…er … office in Venice and planning to hire 6,000 people or so.
Netflix should pick up “Legend of the Seeker” if they’re looking to build an audience of well produced serialized shows. The audience is already there, it’s loyal, it’s passionate, it’s desparate for more, and its worldwide. I think they could do wonderful things with a few tweaks to the show.