Never mind the strong upfront ad sales for broadcast and cable networks. The slowing economy is “finally starting to impact marketers’ budgets,” UBS Investment Research analyst John Janedis said in a report today as he downgraded his investment recommendations for Discovery Communications and Time Warner and lowered his stock-price targets for Scripps Networks and Viacom. He says the cheering from upfront sales will be short-lived: Broadcasters sold $9.3 billion in inventory, up about 6% from last year, while he expects cable networks to record about $9.2 billion in orders, up about 15% from last year. But advertisers will cancel a lot of those orders later this year. The scatter market “has finally started to slow, which could impact results as early as” the third quarter, he says. Janedis also is concerned about the declining ratings at broadcast networks and says that “cable is also at risk of losing a portion of its audience to other platforms” including online services such as Netflix. The fears about slowing ad sales led him to change his view of Discovery and Time Warner to “neutral” from “buy.” Time Warner has an additional problem in film. With the soft start to Green Lantern, “the success of (Time Warner’s) superhero strategy in a post-Harry Potter world is not a foregone conclusion,” Janedis says.


At least the networks can count on huge election revenue through the 2012 elections…and, we all thought politicians were worthless.
I think it’s a case of buyer’s remorse, personally. After the glitz died down, they realized just how weak the 2011/2012 lineup really is.
“”cable is also at risk of losing a portion of its audience to other platforms, including online services such as Netflix” AS long as traditional cable companies insist on charging $100+/month for basic cable (not including internet service), they will lose customers, at least for the cable portion of their services. Which is why they;ve turned around and started to implement the “metered usage” model for their internet services, to recoup some of their losses from those who have dropped it.
Cash said,”I think it’s a case of buyer’s remorse, personally. After the glitz died down, they realized just how weak the 2011/2012 lineup really is.”
What’s not to like about the fall lineups? You have Smash, Awake, Apartment 23, Good Christian Belles, The River which are getting rave reviews.
Smash is going to be huge.
Agree. Actually this season looks interesting.
Last season all the hits went to cable except for The Voice on NBC. The so much buzzed Hawaii five-o finished with a pathetic 2.7 demo.
Great season, Terra Nova, Smash , The New Girl , X Factor , Apart. 23 , The Playboy Club.
Great new season
cable has already lost slowly over time to netflex and things like the ipad and the old dvr. and even advitizers need to make some money if the revenue not there even with the networks up front of new shows. then they have every right to save their money
“the success of (Time Warner’s) superhero strategy in a post-Harry Potter world is not a foregone conclusion,” …
great quote.
DC Enteryainment needs to toss out their current creative management (insanely theiy poult people from the failing, shrinking comics business at the top of the company) and find their John Lassiter–a respected filmmaker willing to mortgage his time in service of maintaining incredibly high standards. If not Chris Nolan then maybe his wife or brother. The DC IP — minus Superman and Batman, which Nolan controls — will flounder without a speedy and decisive overhaul.