The 2012 election campaign has barely begun, but broadcasters can expect to see “an unprecedented frenzy of political advertising,” with total sales running as much as 18% higher than the $2.3 billion spent in 2010, Moody’s Investors Service says in a report today. The U.S. Supreme Court has tossed out spending caps for corporations and unions, making this the first presidential election in more than a decade without such limits, the research firm says. “The campaign frenzy will get some of its oxygen from high-visibility headline issues, including a weak domestic economy, high unemployment and a continued slump in real estate,” Moody’s says. “Control of Congress is also in close contention.” Republicans “may possibly view the Senate to be within their reach in 2012.”
Others also say that the Republican presidential candidate won’t make the same tactical mistake John McCain did in 2008: He accepted federal funds for his campaign, which included caps on his ability to spend. That put him at a tactical disadvantage to Barack Obama, who didn’t take federal cash. “It would be a shock if the Republican nominee (in 2012) took federal funds,” says Ken Goldstein, president of the Campaign Media Analysis Group. Although he doesn’t have a precise forecast yet, he expects to see “more of everything” in 2012.
Moody’s says cash will flood into battleground states for the presidential race including Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Missouri. The firm also expects to see tight U.S. Senate races in Virginia, Massachusetts and Nevada. There could be hard-fought ballot issues in Wisconsin, New York and Ohio involving union collective bargaining rights. In addition, voters may weigh in on budget matters in California and Oregon.
All ad-driven media will benefit from the increased spending. But “television broadcasters still attract more ads than any other media,” Moody’s says. The firm says that the political cash will help to generate record revenues in 2012 for Gray Television, LIN Television, Nexstar and Sinclair Broadcasting Group. But the bonanza will be short-lived. In 2013 there’ll be just two gubernatorial races, in New Jersey and Virginia. Moody’s says that if stations use their 2012 cash to pay down debt, it could be “a far better way to prepare for the future than waiting for another helpful ruling from the Supreme Court.”


Thank you, Supreme Court, for allowing corporations to anonymously spend unlimited amounts money to spread fear, lies and disinformation to further their interests. Because if there’s one thing this country needs, it’s even more corruption of the political process.
Unions will also be able to spend unlimited amounts of money.
And they’ll flood the airwaves with ads promoting liberal Democratic candidates.
In some races, more money may be spent by special interest groups than by the candidates themselves.
word
Unions’ pockets aren’t nearly as deep as corporations’.
au contraire, mon frere. And unions dont have shareholders to which they ahve to answer. If you think the Jimmy Hoffa days are long past, you are either stupid or naive.
Sigh
There’s no caps on Federal and Corporate funding of campaigns but they’d be shocked if the Republican candidate in 2012 took federal and corporate funds? Which is it?
“There’s no caps on Federal and Corporate funding of campaigns but they’d be shocked if the Republican candidate in 2012 took federal and corporate funds? Which is it?”
If you self fund your campaign or do not accept federal matching funds, there are no limits to the amount of money you can raise.
One of the many reasons I’m glad I stopped watching all TV 20 months ago. Campaign ads – What a stupendous, mind-boggling waste of money.
I can see a total of $8 billion spent on ads (most on TV) in 2012, which may (especially in the eight weeks prior to the general election) force non-political ads completely off TV in many areas.
I know someone who works at a car dealer who says that the hot rumor among the “Detroit Three” automakers is that the 2013 models may not be introduced until after Election Day (instead of the usual September announcement date), because the major automakers might not even be able to buy any TV commercial spots prior to that.
Too many ads and I go “Where’s all this money coming from? Why spend so much for a job that pays so little? Who is planning to reap big rewards from this investment?”
Do the candidates really want me thinking about who they owe?
In related news, I see a meteoric rise in DVR use in 2012, if only to fast forward though those ungodly unimaginative ads.
If you’re argument, using your First Amendment rights, is SCOTUS corrupted the political process by allowing organizations to make unlimited donations to candidates, then you’re slaved to the argument of most Americans are too stupid and incapable of making politically-informed decisions about a presidential candidate.
Oh, wait. That’s how Obama got elected. Never mind.
LET THE GAMES BEGIN!
I am,
The Hollywood Republican
And a Hollywood Dipsh#t.
thank god for DVR!
UGH! It would be great it ALL campaigning – ads and news coverage – was completely banned until 6 months before the election. I already have fatigue and it isn’t even halfway through 2011.