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UPDATE: Turns out Paramount can’t count any better than I can. (And I’m math-impaired.) I’ve just learned that Paramount is low-balling its internal projections and saying Transformers 3: Dark Of The Moon should make $150 million in the first 6 days of release starting Wednesday, June 29th, and continuing through Fourth Of July’s long holiday weekend because it’s tracking ”very good”. But the studio is set on eking out every last dollar at the North American box office and just announced an exclusive 3D and IMAX engagement beginning on a 7th day — Tuesday, June 28th at 9 PM. in locations across the country. This is the first of Michael Bay’s Transformers franchise to be shot in 3D which Paramount’s Vice Chairman Rob Moore said in a statement today was ”an incredibly engaging and immersive 3D experience” from the director. So let’s get real: a $150M/5-day result for Transformers 3 would be disastrous, especially since the pic is 3D.
Remember that Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen opened to a 5-day overall of $200M from 4,234 theaters. Included were 169 IMAX screens which contributed $14.5M to that total. Internationally, the robot sequel made $166.1M with a cume of $190.3M including the early debuts in Japan and the UK. So that made for $390.4M worldwide those first 5 days.
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Actually, this is a very good idea.
What’s the basis for the projection? Or is it just an speculation?
I think Paramount is low balling i think it will clear the $200 Million over 5-Days….
It has to be huge or we won’t have the opportunity to ‘snark’ at Transformers 4…and that would be a loss for sure.
Go, Michael, Go!
Gotta say, this trailer looks badass and kills in front of audiences.
In five days, the 2nd one made over 200 million. This is in 3D too. If it’s only 150 that’s disappointing.
These Transformers movies are just depressing. Transformers 1 was okay for a giant robot movie but it was incredibly boring at times and let us not forget that it marked the beginning of the end for Megan Fox (way to go Jonah Hex). Transformers 2 was a total joke and racist to boot and nearly impossible for anyone over the age of 10 to get through. Let’s hope the Decepticons win in part 3 so we can all go home happy. BTW, Bumblebee will go down as one of the worst characters in movie history. Put him right next to Jar Jar Binks on that list. It’s going to make a boatload regardless of all of the above so I’ll just shut up now.
Well, don’t you sound like loads of fun.
You have to like Transformers movies to be considered “fun”?
Just remember everyone if you see it in 3D only 1/3 was shot in 3D 1/3 was converted and the last 1/3 I’d flat….so if you pay to see it in 3D be prepared for some wonky scenes…..in the sense of eye strain…..shame it wasn’t entirely shot in 3D….not worth the full 3D ticket price
Completely untrue. The vast majority was shot in 3D, and the CG stuff is being made for it as well. Roughly 30% is converted
You’re getting way too hung up on fractions, dude. The movie would be cheesy if he shot the entire thing in 3D simply for the novelty of it and at the expense of the movie. Who wants to see an uneventful foreground pop out at them for no reason? Not all 3D shots are cool – the technology can actually be misapplied and done very badly (and has been). It really shouldn’t be used as such a gimmick the way it is – this is why people (and I) have stopped paying to see it. I think Bay recognizes that, thankfully. Just looking at the trailer, it looks like he used his new cameras pretty artfully. For the first time, possibly ever, I’m actually excited to see a movie in 3D. Knowing Mr. Bay, you can rest assured that the 3D shots will be used wisely, make the best of that extra dimension and blow your mind. And THAT’S what’s worth the more expensive ticket.
you don’t know what you are talking about
how do you suggest one shoot robots that only exist in a computer?
seriously, you just sound dumb
You are incorrect. 60 percent shot native. 15 percent all CG full 3d. The rest was converted. The difference in the conversion is they spent a year converting shots and passing elements to the conversion house. They did it the right way.
So when you see it in 3d you will eat your words.
Cue every movie blog on the internet stealing this story.
Actually 2/3 of this movie was shot with the 3D cameras, the other 1/3 was shot in 2D and will be post-converted or was entirely CGI.
Also, people who have seen chunks of the movie say the 3D is great.
Remember when Michael Bay said “you can’t just shit out a 3D movie”? It’ll be interesting to see how good this is.
Audiences where?
Remember Gabriela Cedillo. I hope it tanks. $25 to do a stunt in her own car – scumbags.
if that’s the low end prediction, imagine what the high end prediction is gonna be like, id say over 200 million first five days and over 240 by the 7th day, the good buzz on the 3D will give it enough boost. by the time harry potter comes out it should be on its way to 400 million domestic and close to a billion world wide
I hope the robots do things that go vwiiiip! and BWAA-KSH-WAP. And that we can’t quite tell what’s going on, but we’re pretty sure it’s cool.
I wouldn’t be surprised if this film underperforms compared to the last movie because A. second sequels rarely do as well as the first sequels (see: Shrek the Third, Pirates 3, Spider-Man 3, and that’s just in 2007!) and B. Transformers 2 was a huge piece of shit and I don’t think people are going to fall for it again.
Wasn’t a fan of the first, so I didn’t bother with the second. But this will be huge. Will likely do more than the second in its first five days.
Also remember that Avatar, our 3d gold standard, only had a third shot in 3d, the rest was a cartoon.
Not liking Michael Bay doesn’t give license to fasley stating facts…Mrs. Cedillo wasn’t “doing stunts in her own car for $25″. I thought Indiana OSHA’s report clearing the production of negligence would’ve ended this crap, but I guess since Bay’s an ass it’s ok to lie about it huh?
Wynton,
You are right. She was sliced through her forehead by a “catering cable”. There was no stunt at all. You are right. She was paid thousands of dollars – not the $25 as reported by the Chicago Tribune. Wynton you are right – and also a scumbag.
Paul
I agree with Vince(not Vance)…hard to see this movie doing as well as ROTF did even if it is better. As with most films, I think 3D hurts box office grosses as much as it helps them, domestically. International this movie will likely be huge…maybe $600 mil. Maybe more.
This will break The Dark Knight’s 5-day opening record of $203 million. The promising trailers will make people forget how awful part 2.
I’d rather dig out the 1986 Movie and crank up Stan Bush.
I don’t think $150 million is so far off. A sequel’s opening weekend is directly correlated to how much the public enjoyed the preceding chapter.
Spider-Man 2 was fantastic, so Spider-Man 3 had the biggest opening weekend of all time (even though it wasn’t a good film and ultimately had a lower domestic total). Similar results for X-Men 3, Dark Knight, Hangover 2, Shrek 2, Pirates 2, Matrix Reloaded, Toy Story 2 and 3, etc.
Tomb Raider was terrible, so Cradle of Life opened to less than half its predecessor. Da Vinci Code sucked, so Angels & Demons suffered, even though it was a better film. Batman Begins, Matrix Revolutions, Shrek 4, Pirates 4, X-Men:First Class, and so on.
Remember how surprised everyone was at Kung Fu Panda’s low opening? There’s a reason it was shocking. It’s the exception that proves the rule.
Yes, Transformers 2 was a mammoth success, but did anyone actually like it? No!
A sequels’ opening has nothing to do with how good the film is. It has everything to do with how good the PREVIOUS film was. Dark of the Moon will not make anywhere near Revenge of the Fallen’s $200 million 5-day opening. $150 million seems a more accurate prediction.
Anyone who says this movie will underperform clearly has not been to the multiplex of late. When this trailer plays you can literally hear the gasps from audiences. Yeah the second was a POS by far, but this trailer just looks epic. It grabs you by the throat and doesn’t let you go. I think it’ll break all sorts of records during its release. Would not surprise me if what I’m hearing on the inside is that this thing soars we could be looking at an over 600 million domestic gross. The buzz is off the charts on this.
>The buzz is off the charts on this
It’s not Megan Fox! The first two film were SO bad that Megan Fox was the only real reason to watch. And she’s not in this one.
(And didn’t Megan Fox get canned for saying that Bay was reckless with his cast doing stunts? And didn’t Bay then do a stunt where a woman’s head got cut in half?)
I’ve actually talked to people who didn’t know that Megan Fox wasn’t in this one and, when they found out, they got all pissed off and scratched plans to go. I think (and, kind of, hope) people are mis-reading how much dumping Megan Fox will hurt this movie.
Lol. Megan didn’t get canned because she called Bay reckless. Megan got canned because she called Bay an asshole.
Wrong again. Megan got canned because she called Bay Hitler. Silly girl. Why take the chance on missing out on the kind of payday a half-a-billion dollar movie delivers?
bmg is exactly right, sequels usally do better when the previous film was very popular with audiences.
When you really look back at transformers 2, it did 200 million in 5 days, it should have went on to make something like 500 million domestic or more.
The reason it didn’t was because of the quality of that film, the originals transformers movie had much better holds and was just a more liked film overall.
This movie is going to be a hit and that’s a fact, but the studio isn’t wrong in thinking that it could open like this because it’s hard to call third film boxoffice after a razzie winning sequel.
For example, Pirates 3 didn’t even come close to making the same money domestic that 2 did because a lot of people didn’t like Pirates 2.