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MONDAY AM, 2ND UPDATE: Full analysis and numbers coming…
Let’s party hearty with the end-of-holiday box office for end-of-year 2011. Or let’s not (and say we did.) The Christmas and New Years topper is still Paramount’s Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol which passed $100M domestic on Thursday and $200M internationally Friday. That makes for $300+M global so far. Interesting that Steven Spielberg’s War Horse from DreamWorks/Disney is up +21% over Friday for #3. Lots of analysis coming because sources tell me this final weekend will definitely be up over last year. Here’s the North American Top 10:
1. Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol (Paramount) Week 3 [3,455 Runs]
Friday $10.7M (+8% from last Fri), Saturday $8.7M, Est 3-Day Weekend $28.2M
Est 4-Day Holiday $40M, Est Cume $141M
2. Sherlock Holmes: Game Of Shadows (Warner Bros) Week 3 [3.703 Runs]
Friday $7.4M, Saturday $6.2M, Est 3-Day Weekend $20.8M
Est 4-Day Holiday $27M, Est Cume $137M
3. War Horse (DreamWorks/Disney) Week 2 [2,547 Runs]
Friday $4.6M, Saturday $5.6M, Est 3-Day Weekend $13.1M
Est 4-Day Holiday $17.6M, Est Cume $42.8M
4. Alvin & The Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Fox) Week 3 [3,724 Runs]
Friday $7M, Saturday $4.8M, Est 3-Day Weekend $18M
Est 4-Day Holiday $23M, Est Cume $99.3M
5. We Bought A Zoo (Fox) Week 2 [3,163 Runs]
Friday $4.7M, Saturday $4.8M, Est 3-Day Weekend $13M
Est 4-Day Holiday $17M, Est Cume $44.5M
5. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (Sony) Week 2 [2,914 Runs]
Friday $5.3M, Saturday $4.2M, Est 3-Day Weekend $13.9M
Est 4-Day Holiday $20M, Est Cume $60.8M
7. The Adventures Of Tintin (Paramount) Week 2 [3,087 Runs]
Friday $4.4M, Saturday $3.3M, Est 3-Day Weekend $11.4M
Est 4-Day Holiday $15.5M, Est Cume $50M
8. New Year’s Eve (Warner Bros) Week 4 [2,585 Runs]
Friday $2.3M, Saturday $2.2M, Est 3-Day Weekend $6.5M
Est 4-Day Holiday $8M, Cume $47.7M
9. The Darkest Hour (Summit) Week 2 [2,327 Runs]
Friday $1.6M, Est 3-Day Weekend $3.5M
Est 4-Day Holiday $5.2M, Est Cume $14.2M
10. The Muppets (Disney) Week 6 [1,541 Runs]
Friday $1.1M, Est 3-Day Weekend $2.7M
Est 4-Day Holiday $3.6M, Cume $83.4M
Editor-in-Chief Nikki Finke - tip her here.
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expected grosses, MI4 is the holiday winner…hail Cruise
Go Tom Cruise!
SHERLOCK is a big disappointment. The movie itself and the box office.
Interesting to see CHIPMUNKS and ZOO staying strong.
Hoping the DRAGON TATTOO numbers justify a sequel. It’s a very good film and can build on this audience.
I thought Mission Impossible is boring with a forgettable villain. I didn’t really care about the movie in the end.
Overall, it’s been a lame lame holiday season.
very forgettable, I don’t get it, I didn’t get this whole movie. It was a lot of Tom Cruise running and the schlocky humor ….. Oy vay! Jeremy Renner looked very bored.
The story here that every comment is missing is the passing of the old guard. Scorsese’s film is a financial and artistic disaster, an embarrassingly pretty, hollow attempt at the mainstream from a former iconoclast. Spielberg’s Warhorse is equally “pretty”, a box office dud and woefully dated. Both appeal solely to the well heeled middle aged movie goer. It’s time for new blood, but the great innovators are working with newer technologies.
You should see War horse as a play. its the most inventive thing out. What do consider new blood- Twilight ? That seem to be what people are willing to pay for
Spielberg’s War Horse was never expected to be one of his most commercial films. As for Scorsese, it’s only in recent years that he has had commericial success. His masterpieces, Taxi Driver, Raging Bull and Goodfellas were all only modest commercial successes. Just last year he had his most commercially successful film and here you are anointing him finished. Hugo is not an ‘artistic failure’. One of the best reviewed films of the year and one of Scorsese’s best.
“artistic disaster”
that’s merely *your* opinion
Huh? HUGO is one of the best reviewed films of the year, and WAR HORSE is over performing in the box office and is also very well reviewed. Your “out with the old” agenda is woefully misinformed and unwarranted.
Your post highlights EXACTLY what has been wrong with Hollywood. Too often they have produced films geared to an adolescent audience (both mental and numeral) and have ignored, as you put it “the well-heeled middle aged movie goer.” Though not his best work, Steven Spielberg’s “War Horse” was still a terrific film—even if it was familiar and unappealing to those with snobbish sensibilities.
Scorceses’s film an artistic disaster? You, sir, need to consult a dictionary in regards to the words “artistic” and “disaster.” (Then, throw away whatever machine you typed your message on, and try never to write another word as long as you live.)
It’s funny to compare this with last year’s list hat contained entries like True Grit, Black Swan, The Fighter, The Tourist, Narnia…and wasn’t Social Network still playing? A year makes what a difference.
Seems nobody is metioning that if the price of a ticket would drop a bit maybe more folks would go to the movies.
Good on Tom Cruise for making Mission Impossible into a franchise for these figures prove yet again that this movie is a major cash cow that will keep selling those tickets for decades to come.
I wouldn’t say decades to come, the guy is 49, come on, this ain’t Indiana Jones. I highly doubt people will still pay good money to see a 65 year-old Tom Cruise jumping on buildings while globetrotting.
He said the franchise would continue for decades, not Tom Cruise. The Bond franchise has had more than one Bond you know.
Tommy doesn’t age. At 65 he will still look mid 40′s, so with some makeup, botox and hgh he can probably make a believeable action hero til he turns 100.
Tommy is already shrinking as it is. I fear how he will look in 5 years.
I find it funny that they cast Jeremy Renner, who himself is 40, as a potential replacement for Cruise when he decides the relinquish the role. Still, great flick. Hopefully we get at least one more with the current line-up.
40 is young compared to 50 year old Cruise.
This is why people release at Christmas time. Yes, most of these films are underperforming BUT – Girl with the Dragon Tattoo is probably going to get to 100 mil domestic, Sherlock Holmes will get to 160-170 domestic – even We Bought a Zoo will do 60-70 mil domestic. If they were released in the fall they would get maybe 60% of those numbers.
So true. Last week Girl with the Dragon Tattoo looked like a flop with 30 millions out of $100 budget. And now it will have $60 millions on Monday. And suddenly it’s not that much of a flop now.
And who said that Sherlok underperformed after first week? $137M on Monday is not a flop. Holidays did saved Girl with the Dragon Tattoo and Sherlock. And poor Tintin. It is the only failure.
Maybe Sherlock but not GWTDT. Lot of hype around GWTDT, awesome trailer, Fincher fans… It’s going to make it’s money regardless. Holiday season obviously helps every movie released but Xmas Eve and NYE coming on Saturdays this year is no good.
The original Swedish GWTDT is on Netflix right now. Don’t know if I would like that if I were Sony…
I also think it is becoming more and more obvious that Fincher doesn’t have as many fans as other big directors, just very noisy ones who dominate the blogosphere. I mean, sure his last movies have done better than Zodiac did, but considering the publicity, the Awards hype and the money spent on promoting his last three films they are exactly blockbusters. The biggest was Benjamin Button and Brad Pitt was the bigger draw there, IMHO.
It’s still a flop, because it made less than the original movie internationally.
The original only made 104 million. This one has made 72 million thus far. It’s not gonna be that hard to reach the 104 from the first film….
Actually I think the dark tone of the film is what hurt it in the holiday season. I think movie goes are willing to go dark early Dec, but so close to Xmas? I don’t thinks so, families together, people put aside their cynicism for a week and would rather feel the holiday warmth before the New Year pulls them back. Shoulda released after Turkey day.
Nice to see MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO’s strong holds proving last week’s naysayers wrong; apparently more than Scientologists like MI and more than David Fincher geeks like GWTDT. And it’s surprising that the middling-reviewed WE BOUGHT A ZOO will equal or outpace the more critically well-received WAR HORSE with its Spielberg pedigree.
Critics really whiffed the ball on Zoo. It may not be perfect, but it’s delightful to watch.
After far too many years of being maliciously maligned by the manipulative media (his private life is his business, not mine, and what’s wrong with jumping for joy over being in love?), Mr. Cruise has emerged triumphant. Need I add that the MI series would never have gotten off the ground without him. Happy New Year to Nikki, her staff, and her commentators!
Maliciously maligned? He deserves all the ridicule he received. And just because he’s making a lot of money does not change what he is. We still know where his money goes and that is his business. Stop portraying him as some kind of a victim. He’s still an arrogant douche and probably moreso with the success of this movie.
He put his private life out there to be judged. I don’t think peoples personal lives are my business, but when actors, politicians, reality stars put theirs on display for publicity or image they are inviting the opinions of others. If he wanted privacy he shouldn’t have gone on Oprah.
I also think the bigger problem with him was his giving medical advice, judging women with postpartum depression. He also came off as very arrogant in interviews, insisting he and he alone had done research on ADD and how dare anyone question his authority on medical matters. The couch jumping would have read as just goofy if it weren’t for the other stuff.
Agree! Well said!
Tom Cruise may be a nice guy but I really don’t understand why you clowns defend him like he’s your child. What has he done for you and how has he impacted your life in such a postive way that you come to his rescue on deadline and justify his questionable behaviours?
Mission Impossibles are great, entertaining action movies and any top A-list actor right for the part would’ve brought great results. Pitt, Damon, Clooney, W. Smith…
In Asia where there is a huge fan base for Mission Impossible and Tom Cruise himself, Cruises controversial actions are not widely reported and if they are, their obsessive fanaticism won’t allow them to open their eyes to how bold and ignorant some of Cruise’s actions are. The handsome, smart, sexy, most talented American actor Tom Cruise!
What’s the difference between people defending him – whom you classify as ‘clowns’ vs. people that viciously attack him…
He’s a movie star – what that also means is he is a vehicle for lots of other people to make money off of him. Lots of people. So they protect him with publicists and talking points because they want the cash cow to continue.
The one year he fired his publicist – all hell broke loose.
The point is that you know as little about the real Mr. Cruise as you do about the ‘actor’ that you think you really like.
The movie stars you think you ‘like’ may be just as weird, self-centered and dislikable as your impression of Mr. Cruise- your opinion of them is based on something equally manufactured.
The only people that can actually comment on what type of guy he is is those that have worked with him – and I can say that he is one of the most professional and decent celebs I have ever worked with.
The problem is that these people are surrounded by a ‘yes’ world. Even you d-bags on this site hating on him, if he were to call now and ask you to come to his NYE party, you’d jump at the chance. So stop pretending.
He’s a massive movie star, he’s a nice guy, that’s all we ask of him. Whatever his level of weirdness, who cares. The world is filled with weirdos.
Come on, we all know about publicists and manufactured images celebs portray. I think we can all agree that we are judging these celebs after watching more than one interview and use our intuition to look past the bulls**t interview or magazine article to judge these people.
I have seen an abundance of Tom Cruise away from the silver screen and I don’t need to work with him to form an opinion of him. And my opinion of him is that he is not the most gifted actor nor the smartest guy. I wish he had chose to dedicate himself to an organization/cause other than Scientology but like I said I don’t blame him because he is not the brightest guy and the Church of Scientology captured and enslaved him. I do know that he is one of the hardest working actors in the industry and I respect him for that.
I understand actors are human and I don’t viciously attack any human being. I just don’t understand what Cruise has contributed to in these “clowns’” lives for them to be such loyal fans and defend him. Because he’s a nice guy and works hard?
I don’t care what Tom Cruise does with his time. As long as he keeps making good movies like M:I-4, I’ll keep going. You people need to stop with your stupid gossip and just judge the work. Morons!
Best Comment Ever!
Massive truth.
If others are defending Tom Cruise, you are the other side of the con, making all these derogatory statements.
As far as I am concerned, he is not on drugs, loves his family, works hard and has won Humanitarian awards for charity work.
In comparison to a lot of other celebrities, there is no scandal with him.
Sure he jumped on a couch to profess his love for Katie Holmes and as a woman, I would have loved my hisband to even jump on a park bench to tell others how much he loves me!!!
Your green eyes are blazing fiercely.
Jan
So all those gloating in the “Cruise’s career is dead” – he is still one of the very few you can build a big movie around and have it perform throughout the world.
Good movie TC.
I still have no idea what Sherlock Holmes was about.
Besides, those like Sheen and Gibson have done a lot worse than TC. TC’s a saint compared to those two knuckleheads and has toned down the 2005 behavior anyways.
Plus, he was hilarious in Tropic Thunder.
He’s hilarious in everything he tries to do. Cruise’s Little Man Syndrome cracks me up!
Only when he’s in them. The reason I saw ghost protocol was because of Cruise and I missed seeing him in these action roles.
So you missed KNIGHT AND DAY?
yeah – cruise deserves some props after being a punching bag for so long now – way to go.
I wish
Ghost Protocol could reach 200M (190 is more likely)
Game of Shadows could reach 200M (180 is more likely)
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo could reach 100M (90 is more likely)
War Horse could reach 100M (90 is more likely)
The Muppets could reach 100M (90 is the ceiling basically)
We Bought a Zoo could reach 100M (70 is more likely)
Out of of all these films, only the two Oscar-films (‘Dragon Tatto’ and ‘War Horse’) have the luxury of staying in theaters for two more months thanks to the Awards-buzz, so I think those two could exceed the 100M, if the WOM of ‘Zoo’ is as good as the Cinemascore suggests, that might be able to get closer to the 80-90M range than 70, and the great buzz surrounding ‘Ghost Protocol’ might just be enough to push it over 200M. Oh, I need some good year-end performances after this crappy BO-year…
So it only leaves ‘Game of Shadows’ and ‘The Muppets’…both are more than decent performers, but still…for former the 200M shouldn’t have been a problem (the previous one pulled that off against Avatar) and after the surprisingly great reviews and opening weekend, it is still VERY weird that ‘The Muppets’ couldn’t deliver better legs.
Well, I think we have to face facts here. All of these movies are being helped by the timing of their release dates. Christmas through NYE is the time when even the worst movies can do quite well because audiences are out in droves looking for pretty much anything to go and see.
The problem is that none of these films have captured the imagination of the moviegoing public. These films were produced by some of the biggest and most bankable names around. It is not a good sign even if a lot of these films end up with decent numbers.
What, exactly, am I supposed to take away from this? That $190 mil isn’t good enough for you, but $200 mil is (and downward through the lineup)? Cretinous expressions of greed, overprivilege, and entitlement for a New Years’s Eve. How about, thank goodness (and thank the working public) for a bountiful holiday weekend, thank goodness that wars are still on others’ shores (even though we’re the ones waging several of them), and thank goodness the whole shebang hasn’t (yet) collapsed around our heads?
Happy New Year to all!!!!
What exactly are you supposed to take away from this ? Well, I’ve already said it : after this crappy BO-year, I want a nice ending…that’s all.
Cruise had better tie himself to the MI franchise if he wants to stay relevant as the sad message from these numbers is that’s the only thing he can still open. I’d like to see some more coverage of the biggest flop of the season: Hugo. Martin scorsese should be ashamed of himself for wasting so much money on that obnoxious, self indulgent drivel when so many hard working people have lost so much over 2011.
Let’s get this right: Martin Scorsese should be “ashamed” because he made an expensive movie during tough economic times. Yeah, let’s tar and feather that guy.
Ridiculous post. Self indulgence is a component of art. Scorsese’s self indulgence brought us TAXI DRIVER and RAGING BULL, two films that are impossible to make now. HUGO breaks new ground in a tired, abused medium. It will continue to be seen while most other films of the moment will be totally forgotten. No one has achieved what Scorsese has in this hackneyed medium.
Miss Piggy’s legs might get them there! Go Piggy!
I guess other people liked the couch-jumper’s new movie more than me.
MI4 definitely won’t get replayed at my house like Brian De Palma’s original.
For all the pile-on naysaying about Matt Damon and WE BOUGHT A ZOO’s Xmas boxoffice performance, audiences love it (it’s actually a really good film) and it’s holding very well. It will make more than THE DESCENDANTS, more than DRIVE, more than J EDGAR — I could go on and on. Based on its budget it will be one of the most profitable films of the holidays, unlike, say, HUGO, which cost $150 Million plus, and will barely make $50 Million. So why is the media not piling on Martin Scorsese. Give ZOO a chance.
You’re wrong on “Hugo”. Its domestic cume will be around $60M, once mid-January sets in. But for a flop, it’s had some decent legs.
Perhaps that’s because the movie is, y’know, GOOD? I feel people who trash “Hugo” have either not seen it and are bashing it sight unseen, or they missed the point entirely. How on earth is it pretentious? If I wanted pretentious, I’d watch “Drive” again.
Who exactly is piling on We Bought a Zoo? If anything, it seems no one is really talking about it either way which is a bigger problem.
We bought a zoo should pass War horse . It’s a shorter film and it’s in more theaters .so that’s not a big accomplishment
God i hate those chipmunk movies……
The Muppets was very front-loaded is the reason. The audience that wanted to see the movie – basically Gen Xers who are in their second childhoods – has seen it. Kids aren’t interested, teens aren’t interested. Apparently, the Muppets have failed to appeal to the current generation. I blame Kermit.
Outside of the first Muppet movie, the Muppets have never been much of a box office draw. When this project was first announced, I thought that $50 million would be the ceiling for the movie.
Who would have thunk Tom Cruise would end up being the big winner of Christmas 2011?
Good on him for putting out a way better film than Sherlock 2, and for giving folks something worth paying for.
I also saw GWTDT and it’s definitely not a superior film to the Swedish version. Not a bad film either, though for me it’s actually clunkier in places and overall nothing like as good as folks are trying to sell it as. Opening credits sequence aside, it’s ultimately just a good but not special remake of an equally as good film, and in no way a masterpiece.
I have doubts about it passing 100 million, but if it holds well enough it’s not impossible.
Then I guess you didn’t read the book. The U.S. GWTDT film is much, much more faithful to the book!
No, I haven’t got round to the books yet. They are on the very long ‘to do’ list. I’ve only watched the Swedish filmed trilogy and the Fincher version.
But which one is more faithful to the book is not as relevant to me as it may be to you or others. Although I’ve read quite mixed reviews on the books themselves and some of those opinions might actually explain why the Fincher version is clunkier (which it definitely is regardless) in it’s telling of the story. I don’t think a film has to be literally faithful when it goes through the adaption process.
The book and any film adaption should be able to stand independently of each other as they are in a different medium so I’m only interested in my experience of watching each filmed version.
Which is why I don’t rate Fincher’s as being significantly better than that which already exists (especially since he virtually copies sections of dialogue and shots from the Swedish one through his film – though yes, he does also make changes in other places). I really couldn’t shake the feeling I was still watching a copy of something I had already seen.
And I am a Fincher fan, but that doesn’t mean I’m going to coo over everything he makes.
The Muppets is dead. Looks like the big comeback has turned into a wake. I blame Kermit and the rest of the wrong-sounding Muppets (except Miss Piggy. She’s still a babe).
And yet it still kicked Hugo’s proverbial teeth in, without 3D and with half the budget.
Wow I can’t believe the amount of Cruise apologists on this thread. It’s like your welcoming the second coming. Relax. The trailer was well done. You have a very strong director. A tight script. And word of mouth got out. Period. If it was a stinker then it would’ve died.
Brad Bird deserves an enormous amount of credit here for diving in with very little prep time and delivering the best, most dynamic entry in the series (and some of the most gripping, jaw-dropping sequences of the year).
Game of Shadows is a very entertaining film. Robert Downey Jr and Jude Law play very well off each other and I’m looking forward to a third SH. I wish these two guys would even do a non-franchise film together, they’re that awesome.
It’s understandable that MI4 is making slightly more, given how much revenue IMAX adds to the total. I think people forget about that. To be honest, I actually expected it to have made more by now. But if comparing to previous MI films, then yes it’ll probably beat those.
Game of Shadows was a bloody mess, and not the good kind that the first one was.
With all due respect to Tom Cruise, I submit that equal (if not more credit) for the success of MI:4 has to go to director Brad Bird. Cruise is fine in this movie, sure, but it was Bird who brought the franchise back to the original MI mission and focused on the team and not the star. Bird kept Cruise under control and actually directed the guy. He made a fantastic movie.
My favorite movie of the holiday season: “The Artist.”
Biggest disappointment: “Young Adult.” Why did Jason Reitman bother?
Tom Cruisde is the reason I’m NOT seeing MI. Sad Dragon Tattoo isn’t doing better. Rooney Mara is a revelation.
Actually doing quite well now… Holding it’s audience and feels like it will be in it for the long haul.
In general, it is a mistake to seek out or avoid the work of any artist based on whether you like or dislike him. It expresses a certain shallowness in the viewer.
Nice job, parents of North America. Despite all the universally acclaimed kids movies released since around Thanksgiving, only Alvin III will top 100M.
The family fare you get you deserve.
Yes, very diappointing. I didn’t see Muppets, Arthur Christmas or Hugo (I don’t have kids) but they were all much better reviewed than Chipmunks. I really, really don’t want to hear parents complain there are “no good family movies” after this.
Please note TINTIN is on track to out-cume WAR HORSE and ZOO in North America. It will probably end up in MUPPET country. Not bad considering that the Muppets are household names in the US while hardly anyone here knows TINTIN.
Please, it’s been promoted as a Steven Spielberg and Peter Jackson film. It’s performance is terrible, although its success overseas saves it. And whatever moron thought it would be a good idea to open two Spielberg pictures against each other should be fired. I don’t know who had the weekend first, but the other should have backed off.
Huh? No one in their right mind thought Tintin was going to do MI4 or Sherlock 2 numbers. The fact that it’s already made 50 mil is more than I thought frankly. There’s a reason it was released 2 months ago to the rest of the world. The American Box office is simply icing on the cake.
A sequel is already on its way, and with good reviews here and abroad, I think it’s safe to say fans are eagerly awaiting Jacksons version.
The idea that some people are trying to turn this into a Hugo size flop is laughable.
I’d say TINTIN matched or exceeded expectations here in NA. MUPPETS fell short.