A hard-hitting report today from Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter seemed to reignite investor fears about Netflix ahead of Wednesday afternoon, when the home video company will release its 4Q results. The analyst, who has an “underperform” rating on the stock, says Netflix may tell the Street that its losses in the current quarter will come close to 62 cents a share as opposed to the consensus forecast of a 29 cent loss. The tip-off for him was Netflix’s decision in November to sell $400M worth of stock and notes that can be converted into stock. Pachter says Netflix had to “raise capital at less-than-optimal terms.” The reason: When the company radically revamped its prices in July, many customers who used to pay $9.99 a month to both stream video and borrow DVDs decided to pay $7.99 to do one or the other. But the streaming video licensing deals Netflix cut last year will mean that its costs will “continue to rise materially, further pressuring margin and profits.”
If Pachter is right, then it could cast a pall on what’s been an encouraging month. Netflix shares are up 35.6% so far in January as many investors started to believe that the worst is over for the company, which has lost 67.8% of its value since July. Some analysts are more upbeat than Pachter. This morning, Sterne Agee’s Arvind Bhatia, who rates Netflix as “neutral,” said that he believes the 4Q report could beat expectations. Still, he says the shares won’t grow significantly until Netflix CEO Reed Hastings provides more details about how the company will profit from its expansion overseas.

The problem is it’s an outdated business model. They are AOL in the world of the internet. Yesterday’s news. At least they’re not Prodigy which would be Blockbuster in this example.
Do you have any specific examples of how their business model is outdated?
I guess throwing their Ad department under the bus didn’t save as much face as they thought it would. People aren’t as stupid as they hoped, I guess. Between the idiots who make the moronic business decisions, and the poor saps who are tasked with trying to put a positive spin on said moronic decisions, we know who to blame for Netflix’s fall from glory.
Yes we do the studios that want more and more money for content, sooner or later subscribers will have to pay more and more for the service; you can’t continue to give away product. I’m surprised they didn’t raise fees to a minimum of 10 bucks for EACH streaming and DVD.
Studios keep putting the screws to business models like Redbox, Netflix and the like. They, the studios want to sell DVD’s, and they will do anything they can to do so. In the mid 70’s they fought video tape rentals so much so that Disney had separate video tapes for rental and for purchase, the rental ones were higher wholesale cost.
Metflix is made up of a bunch a people who think they are as smart as the studios. Their not. Not even close. Why would anybody put out a billion dollars for product like the CW’s or pay a hundred million sight unseen and totally unsupervised on House of Cards. What a fucking mess they have created for themselves with no one else to blame.