BREAKING… EXCLUSIVE: Marvel’s The Avengers just came on early tracking this morning “incredibly strong” exactly as
Hollywood thought it would, my industry sources are telling me. This is the first Marvel film to be marketed and distributed by Disney so this is great news for the studio. The numbers tell the story: it has 23% ‘First Choice’ and 62% ‘Definite Interest for all audiences – incredibly high among men, and solid among females. With so many well known characters coming together for the first time in this PG-13 film directed by Joss Whedon in Digital 3D, RealD & IMAX 3D, the movie’s opening on May 4th timed to the official summer season start in North America will be an event. As a result, not only will this type of action film normally skew young and older male, but the early tracking is looking strong as a three- and possibly four-quadrant movie, too. One expert provided me with a box office guesstimate that this assembly of Marvel superheroes should open during its 3-day non-holiday weekend to $100+M domestic. That would make the film Marvel’s biggest opening, and its highest-grossing since Iron Man 2 ($128M opening weekend which ultimately made $312.4M domestic/$311.5M international for $623.9M worldwide). The non-holiday 3-day record is held by Warner Bros’ Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 with $169.1M. Right now Disney and theatre owners are adding screens every day for the release whose online pre-sales of tickets are already selling out. Midnight show business is expected to be phenomenal. Exactly how much the studio can gross for the first weekend depends on how many screenings each theater can pack into 72 hours by finding enough staff willing to work the extra hours and keep the pic running continuously.
The marketing campaign kicked into high gear Wednesday night for the world premiere in Hollywood at the El Capitan Theatre last night.(Text continues below)
Trailers for the film broke iTunes records twice for the most viewed trailer in a 24-hour period first in October 2011 (with over 10 million views), and then broke the record again in February 2012 with 13.7 million views in the first 24 hours. Advance tickets for the ‘Ultimate Marvel Marathon’ (5 movies in a row) leading up to the midnight release of Marvel’s The Avengers sold out in a month ahead of the release of the film in major U.S. cities and in Canada, prompting AMC to add shows to meet the demand.
Now all the studio has to do is market the heck out of the movie to grow that awareness. The Disney marketing machine hit a major speed bump with the recent John Carter fiasco, so Hollywood will be watching intently as the studio takes over the Marvel marketing duty from Paramount which also used to distribute. Setting the right tone to attract wider audiences without pissing off fanboys is a delicate balance and a complicated one. What will help is that Disney is opening Marvel’s The Avengers first in some major markets more than a week early: April 24th and 25th in the UK, France, Spain, Mexico, Australia, Russia.
Both here and overseas, this is the movie Marvel fans have been waiting for their entire lives to see all of the marquee superheroes together for the first time: Iron Man, Thor, Hulk, Captain America, Hawkeye, helped by an incredibly strong cast including Robert Downey Jr., Samuel L. Jackson, Scarlett Johansson, Chris Hemsworth, Chris Evans, Jeremy Renner, and Tom Hiddleston. Joss Whedon directed from a story by Zak Penn and Joss Whedon with screenplay by Joss Whedon. The film is being produced by Marvel Studios’ President Kevin Feige and executive produced by Alan Fine, Jon Favreau, Stan Lee, Louis D’Esposito, Patricia Whitcher, Victoria Alonso and Jeremy Latcham. Marvel’s The Avengers is based on the Marvel comic book series “The Avengers,” first published in 1963 and a comics institution ever since.
Editor-in-Chief Nikki Finke - tip her here.



Recent marketing has cured a lot of the earlier missteps. The release of the Loki/Tony Stark “Headcount” clip yesterday put to rest the early furor over Robert Downey Jr’s line “We may not save the Earth but we sure will avenge it”.
What originally sounded corny now has context and actually makes sense. Good for them.
Everything I’ve seen and heard about this film looks great – really want to see solid performance on an actually worthy film and this one could do it. Kudos to Marvel and Disney and fingers crossed.
This movie has everything.Colorful costumes and crazy action for the kids.Lots of action and a few hot chicks for the men.And women love Robert Downey, Jr, Chris Hemsworth and Chris Evans.
It’s the first real superhero team movie, featuring characters that have been popular for 50 years and it’s written and directed by Joss Whedon.This is money in the bank.
That’s some pretty deep analysis, cindercity….did you pull that from a cracker jack box? Perhaps an Entertainment Weekly article? Either you’re a lame publicity plant or someone that doesn’t know enough to speak intelligently. Entertainment Tonight offers more complex scrutiny.
Why so serious Julia? U mad? Why are you so mad or upset over what looks like a pretty accurate prediction. Are you some sort of studio plant that worked on John Carter or Green Lantern and still sore about that? Don Murphy has openly trashed the Iron Man franchise, Jon Favreau, and Marvel Sudios openly like this on his own forums. Maybe you have some connection there.
Makes sense…The Avengers has multiple popular proven comic book characters all for the price of one ticket.
This should be huge.
It should be. It has to pay for itself and offset Disney’s losses from John Carter. I don’t think it will be as big as expected in the US.
I would be shocked if this movie wasn’t good.
This is going to be a very interesting summer, with Hunger Games doing that massive 152 million without even being in 3D, one has to wonder what this and TDKR will end up doing.
One thing is certain, there is money to be made.
People who have seen it sure do like it but the commercials make it look so unappealing. It looks like an overlit jiffylube commercial filled with stiff, self-conscious actors and CGI mayhem. But if this thing opens it’s going to be fun to see Marvel and Joss stand off for his deal for a second one.
Movie looks fantastic. Hope it does well. Early buzz from the early screenings and premieres is really strong. Some members of the SuperHeroHype who went to the premiere called it the best Marvel Studios movie better and even better than Iron Man.
One thing this article fails to mention is that it broke the trailer record on iTunes previously held by THE DARK KNIGHT RISES.
Saw it last night. It was really fun– also surprisingly funny. Best superhero movie I’ve seen in ages.
Marvel has yet to release a really good superhero movie. Here’s to hoping that Joss gets it done.
Iron Man, X-Men, X-Men 2, Spider-Man, Spider-Man 2, and Captain America were all good movies.
None of those titles were *released* by Marvel. They all, however, star major Marvel characters. So, yes, Marvel superhero movies have been pretty good, Spider-Man 2 so far setting the bar.
As somebody up above said, The Avengers written/directed by Joss. A no-brainer. Can’t wait!
Actually, plant, Captain America was released by Marvel Studios. But, I didn’t think it was a good movie (not a bad movie though).
These are all semantics. Marvel Studios produced Iron Man, Captain America, Thor, Iron Man 2, and Incredible Hulk. Universal and Paramount were only distributors. Same with The Avenges. They are all for intents and purposes Marvel Studios movies. So in terms of releasing, technically Marvel makes nothing, but Marvel Studios/Entertainment had a hand in producing all of these films.
According to David Hayter, Kevin Feige was an instrumental architect in finding the voice of the earlier X-Men films for example.
If you’re going to say that then Marvel (more accurately Marvel Sudios) as yet to release a SINGLE movie of any kind and they aren’t starting now either. They have only produced 6 movies at all, The Avengers is number 6, and they are all pretty well liked by a diverse audience around the globe. For many, especially outside America Thor is the best, others it is Iron Man or Iron Man 2, you’ll find plenty who like the heat soul of Captain America the most and the campaign to get Edward Norton back as Bruce Banner / Hulk, shows that even their least successful effort had a decent number of fans too.
Outside of the I’d say (and I’m by no means alone here) that Marvel have made at worst four good movies and 1 entraining one. I don’t see them letting that slip with The Avenges, in fact I expect this to be their best yet. It faces stiff competition, but that extra week ‘overseas’ will help it close in on that $1b global, especial
Trust me, Joss Whedon did an awesome job. The movie is epic!
Why is everything branded Paramount if this is from Disney?
Most of the Marvel Studios movies leading into The Avengers were put out by Paramount(Iron Man 1 and 2, Captain America: The First Avenger, Thor…The Incredible Hulk was put out by Universal, but Marvel Studios has the rights to it as they do the aforementioned films leading into Avengers). Disney acquired ownership of Marvel Entertainment (the comics, Marvel Studios, etc) and is releasing it. Think of Paramount’s involvement as sort of a co-sponsor, but legally they DO have investment in The Avengers having put out those previous films. The same thing occurred with Watchmen, given Paramount WAS going to do a Watchmen film at one point in the past. They had some rights heldover from that attempt. Then it went to Warner Bros. for final release and Paramount was added to the credits. Look at the trailers for Watchmen online on YouTube.
You’ll see when the studio logo portion is up at the beginning of the trailers, both the Warner Bros. logo and the Paramount logo are present.
I don’t think Disney wants people to freak out by putting the Disney logo in front of it since there is a bit of a stigma there and audiences are used to seeing the Paramount logo in front of most of the recent Marvel Studios releases, ie Iron Man 1 and 2, Captain America, and Thor. Sense of continuity.
It’s hard to complain about a projected $125 million dollar opening weekend, but that number is flat with Iron Man 2, and Iron Man 2′s total domestic gross was flat with part 1.
The audience is not growing like it should be and that’s probably because when Marvel was with Paramount, they had no pay TV deal(Sorry, but EPiX is not close to HBO or STARZ in terms of availability).
Look at the jump from “Batman Begins” to “The Dark Knight”. So much is made about the “Ledger” effect but the bigger factor was the “Begins” played constantly on HBO for 2 years, building up a fan base.
Still three weeks out, yo.
155 opening weekend, 380 domestic total….write it down and book it
Baking in Bakersfield,
Many would argue that Iron Man 1 was a really good superhero film.
This is gonna be a big one. First in a long line of big ones this summer though. With TDKR, Spider-Man, Prometheus…the studios are going to be rolling in so much cash they’ll be able to open up their own giant Money Bin ala Scrooge McDuck.
Nikki, it’s going to make $25M more than that… a $150M opening weekend sounds just about right for a movie of this size. Disney has wisely marketed it well and it has a lot going for it. The trouble is, people were “meh” after the mediocre “Iron Man 2″ and the other two MS films didn’t even break $200M domestically.
But I think, judging on the excellent buzz from the advance screenings, it could open big and have a decent holdover similar to the first “Iron Man” movie. People are raving about this film.
The Avengers will open huge, and treat the box office like the Hulk’s plaything. I am predicting that it WILL BE HUGE, and potentially the biggest film of the summer. I am talking–at least– $500 million DOMESTIC, and a similar sum overseas.
It’s going to break a billion, baby.
Completely agree with Brian, as well as TDKR, The Avengers will be enormous. Already got my tickets for opening day (seen as no midnight showings in the UK.)