PwC says that television execs have a little time to relax before their lucrative business models implode. The consulting firm reached its conclusion after sponsoring a recent debate between the Marketing Association of the Columbia Business School and the Virginia Commonwealth University Brandcenter on the question: “Should advertisers, agencies and the media worry about cord-cutting?” PwC agrees with the Columbia team that with growing competition from Web video providers, and Internet-connected game consoles, “there’s no question that television viewership trends are dramatically changing.” But the firm sides with Virginia Commonwealth concluding that “the impact to the pay TV industry over at least the next five years will be minimal.” The reasons: “Traditional TV viewing is still popular, ubiquitous TV content-on-the-go-packages are becoming commonplace, TV advertising dollars continue to grow, and there are limitations such as content discovery issues with [Web-based] services that need improvement.” Tablets and smartphones, also known as second screens after TV, are becoming important. PwC says that’s no problem for conventional TV: Networks are “developing dynamic companion apps both at the network and show-specific levels to extend viewers’ experience.”


Sorry, but PwC has totally missed the mark here. There are now more web-connected devises in the US than people. Go out to any public place (airport, coffe shop, etc.) and everyone – I mean everyone – is plugged into a smartphone, tablet, or laptop. That level of connectivity alone will drive the demand for wireless content. And whenever Apple (or someone else) delivers a truly smart TV, the end of cable/satellite is only a matter of time.
There is a terribly misplaced emphasis on “cord-cutting” as the event that’s going to change the game forever. Nonsense. The game changer is that consumers/audience are aggressively avoiding having to view commercials. Whether by DVR or streaming, viewers not only want anytime access to content, they want it free of ads, or at least have the power to avoid them. Advertisers know this. The only reason ad revenues haven’t yet collapsed is that the big advertisers haven’t quite figured out where exactly to put their money if NOT the 30 second tv commercial. Once they do, that’s the game changer for television as we know it. Cord cutting will seem like a paper cut.
Even DVRs will seem hokey and clunky compared with the simplicity just streaming via Amazon or Netflix. Why skip ads when you can simply have no ads to begin with?
Advertisers are looking around for alternatives to TV, that’s for sure. But AdWords and obnxious banner ads are not going to replace TV ads for branding purposes.
Agreed. This report’s torturous fact twisting, to appease cable companies, reminds of the consultants who used to console radio station owners that the new fangled television set would never catch on with the public. Entertainment on demand streamed over the Internet is an unstoppable wave that will kill cable and satellite TV, the same way the Internet has doomed the daily newspaper.
The only thing preventing this snowball from becoming an avalanche is live sports. Once the major league franchises all move to subscription models, adios cable TV.
Absolutely. I cut the cord in November and subscribed to the NHL Vault.
There is more good programming on tv (cable, pay & broadcast) than ever before, and viewing levels have never been higher. You’ve got more audiences being super-served by targeted programming — and while there’s more crap too, one man’s trash is another’s treasure, etc. All the content providers are deep in bed with the content distributors (MSOs), and when the netflixes of the world get too pushy on the model they’ll find their content lanes dried up very quickly. There are 100s of billions of (dollars worth of advertising) reasons why the conventional models are going nowhere, despite the appeal of multi-platform video viewing. Besides, there’s going to be a network capacity crunch very soon. It already sucks to be streaming unless you’ve got a great connection, and more often than not they aren’t. It’s the same reason VOIP sucks versus good ol’ wired telephone.
Talk about out of touch and obviously these people did not talk to anyone under the age of 30 let alone 25, there is a distinct cultural and generational differences at work. These people are as delusional as the music business was a decade ago and clearly do not understand where technology is going, where it is now and quite frankly their own business.
Cord Cutting non sense Once Ultra /Premium Vod kicks in worldwide thier going cut out all the downline traditional cable /tv distributors at the door .Look at The Music Business the only thing left is M AND L Merchandise and Licensing . Most Program exec’s will picking over the bones at content markets to make sense of the programming left overs . The Studios got caught with thier pants down when video arrived but this time with 15 non exclusive VOD deals in every country Of the World and Telcos Telephone companies driving the bottom line numbers and the release windows shrinking to net 30 days the consumer is not time shifting his downloading what he wants when he wants with out commercials –
Advertisers are Chasing Eye balls and The Studios are chasing telco Dollars they want to participate at the source – no 3rd party rev share deals at this content party – What the advertisers need to do is produce it and serve it for free before the system explodes with so many programming choices – comcast Universal / netflix starz / the writing is on the wall – you think your Telephone cell bill is high now just wait -just push and pay later mom and dad will pay the bill – !!!! A New DIGITAL high for those folks asleep at the Wheel – ha ha how many folks down loaded the last big Fight in Vegas $60.00 for SD and $70.00 USD FOR HD -not a single commercial in this broadcast -I bet my bottom dollar the numbers were huge !!! I went for the HD Down load of Course wanted to see his entire face in HD – You think your sweating now as a Programming Advertising guy just wait -your new field of dreams will be chasing eye balls in this new ultra Vod Premium Space
What’s out of touch is the fact that the majority of Americans still do, and want, to receive programming from their conventional device: a TV. Only Geeks and Technos are streaming this and that from the web to their TV screens. OR watching, ad nausem, poorly produced webisodes with no-name actors on their computers. The average American doesn’t have the time or money to research, much less invest, in the time and effort it takes to put together the mechanics necessary for all of the gadgetry-gookedy-goop. How is House of Cards doing? And what will Netflix’s measurement be, going forward, to determine whether it receives a second season or not? The buzz on that show is very mild. And just because people buy consumer goods, or other proven media products from AMAZON doesn’t mean they’ll flock to it for content that they’re used to seeing on television or at the movie theaters. … So much, digitally, and linked to the Internet is still so unproven, yet everyone is jumping on the bandwagon like it’s platinum.
This is an argument that gets thrown around a lot. It doesn’t matter if the average viewer in America isn’t a tech wiz… they’re not going to be the agents of change. When you look at the math, what if even 10% of households cut the cord? 20%? That’s potentially tens of billions of dollars that gets removed from the traditional cable economy. So even if the average household isn’t streaming, all that’s needed for the whole traditional TV economy to start unraveling is for 10-20% of households to cut the cord. And true, this will most likely be younger people in more urban areas that are more tech savy, but those are going to be the people who cause the wave of change. The conversation needs to move away from everyone cutting their cord to the realization that only 10-20% of people need to cut their cord, and the domino effect it would cause all the way down the chain from MSOs to advertising to networks/channels/local stations to production. It would be disastrous. So the question then becomes, what is going to cause that 10-20% of people to cut their cord and what can be done to prevent that from happening. At the end of the day, it’s going to come down to value. People aren’t really cutting the cord now because people still find enough of a value in what they’re paying for (a combination of price and content supply that they demand). People don’t like paying $130/month and they don’t like ads, but they still find enough value in what they’re paying for. Where the threat from these emerging streaming services comes in is whether they are able to get enough people to start thinking that they can get “enough” value at a cheaper price (movies, library content, kids programming, sports over-the-air, current programming). When consumers believe that they can get “enough” of what they want through these other distribution channels without spending $130/month, that’s when they will cut the cord. And again, you don’t need everyone to cut the cord to unravel the TV business. 10-20% is all it would take in reality and to think that it won’t happen because the average person isn’t a tech geek, is misguided.
You don’t need any tech-wizardry to plug in an old computer to your HD TV with an HDMI cord.
MidAmerica – You don’t know what you’re talking about. House of Cards was ordered for 2 seasons outright so there is no debate over whether there will be a 2nd season. It was planned right from the get-go to have at least 2 seasons. Additionally, it is the most watched show in all of Netflix. If you call that and the avalanche of news articles about the show “mild buzz,” you’re a buffoon. Considering they have millions of subscribers, that’s a big deal.
Finding FREE content (including the same content broadcast on tv with FEWER commercials than you’d get on a tv set that people pay high rates for monthly in their cable bills) online is child’s play (literally, children do it). It’s why the only people I’ve encountered who have trouble with it are the very old or the very dumb. Throw in the ridiculously cheaper price of Netflix for later viewing. Or, better still, add in the free content of streaming services with the same TV shows + AdBlock Plus, and you’ve got free legal TV aired slightly later with zero commercials. lol, the networks often stream the same shows on their websites. I watch The Daily Show and The Colbert Report regularly off Comedy Central. Episodes are released within hours of airing. Because I use AdBlock Plus, I haven’t seen a single commercial while watching either show in years. I don’t have cable and I don’t even own a TV set. I will never pay for TV outside of a cheap Netflix or streaming-equivalent account (and even then only for a 1 month pass so I can watch the full seasons of the shows I want to see and then end the subscription). I was in a hotel a couple months ago and watched about 5 minutes of cable TV before shutting it off. The number of commercials made the shows completely unwatchable. I can’t believe people not only sit through all of it but PAY to sit through it. Paying for cable is for the Flintstones.
Given that my 85 year old neighbor just hooked her TV to a Roku box in about 5 minutes without any problem I would say the wolf is already at Cable’s door. Broadcast monopolies of sports are the most potent weapon Cable has, and they know it. Why else would Comcast SF have wrangled a 30 year exclusivity deal with the San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics? The Cable companies know that if they lose their sports monopolies the end will be around the corner.
Folks need to take the time, do their homework, and use reference sites like KickOutCable.com
I’m amused by the cable and satellite defenders on this thread. Programming better than ever? What a joke! It gets worse every year. The primary reason I’m terminating DirecTV is that the price keeps going up and the quality of the content keeps getting worse. Sports is the ONE big thing keeping most guys my age attached to the cord (or the dish, as the case may be), but I work at a university and I have news for the folks in the boardrooms, the young people aren’t willing to pay your high and increasing prices just to see a few extra games each year. You’re losing the next generation.
As to folks who think this is limited to geeks, I’d suggest getting a Roku and an OTA antenna. They are both as simple as dirt to use. No geekiness required. And the average quality of the content, which is much cheaper, blows the average quality of the bloated bundle on cable and satellite out of the water. Best Buy just advertised a bundle for cord cutters this week. That should tell you something about the trend.
I have no problem with those who want to keep paying for cable or satellite doing so, but those counting on that remaining the norm have a rude awaking coming their way. And if sports is all you really have to keep your subscribers in large numbers (and it is), you’re in big trouble. It’d probably do the CEOs at these companies well to hire some 20-somethings to get a better view of the world to come rather than to think that the world that is is the way it will remain. (By the way, I’m in my 50s, so don’t think I’m an out of touch 20 something.)
I cut the cord and set up a Home theater PC about year ago. I mainly did it because I was fed up with my cable company’s abysmal service and the fact that TV seemed to be degenerating into mindless crap.
I didn’t have high hopes for streaming but I figured it would give me something to watch when I didn’t want to read or play a video game.
I was totally blown away by the variety and amount of free and low cost content on the web and how user friendly media center software had become. I started buying DVDs whenever I saw them cheap or at garage sales, pop in the DVD and 1 click rip to hard drive and auto organized by the software, then throw the DVD in a box in the closet. The media center software I am using (XBMC) also has plug-ins for all the popular sites and services so I can access everything from one screen, and new plug-ins are being made all the time. I have since set up HTPCs for several friends who were equally amazed.
Lots of devices are popping up and media center software is getting easier to set up and use.
I think if they aren’t worried about cord cutters then they are on some really good antidepressants.
I wouldn’t go back to cable if it were free.