OPENING: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY), $91.6M; Belle (FSL) limited release in 4 runs with a nice per screen average of $26,664.

BoxOffice_logo__131122164403-275x2068th UPDATE, Monday, PM: Final numbers show The Amazing Spider-Man 2 gross at $91.6M.

Key to what the long-term performance will be of ASM2 will be how well it holds in its second weekend. Since Sony has been using the Disney/Marvel Captain America: The Winter Soldier comp, let’s look at that. In its second weekend, the Cap dropped 51% in its second weekend out. However, it had a full four weeks before Spidey swung into theaters. There was some question whether Transcendence would make a dent in its box office, but that bombed so had little effect. amazing_spiderman_2_game04So Captain America really had some room to play. ASM2 has only one more weekend before the Warner Bros./Legendary Pictures’ Godzilla tsunami. The second thing we need to look at is historically at what the percentages drops have been for the last Spider-Man pics in their second weekends’ out. ASM, which made most of its gross before it hit Friday because it opened on a Tuesday prior to the July 4th holiday, had a 3-day weekend to weekend drop of 44%. Spider-Man 3 had a 61% decline; Spider-Man 2 dropped 49% and Spider-Man dropped only 41%. So, if tradition holds to a mid-40% drop in its sophomore frame, ASM2 could make anywhere around $260M to  $270M domestically … so maybe $800M all in … we’ll see how international rolls in … and it’s rolling in from China daily since Sunday. Read Nancy Tartaglione’s international box office report here.

Avi Arad, who was there from the very beginnings of the original Spider-Man film, said: “It was a spectacular opening for what I call Spider-Man 5. I am incredibly happy with the franchise. It will continue. Marvel is a huge universe, and the most interesting villians are in the Spider-Man universe. If James Bond can go on and on …  I think sequels can go on forever. Marvel started with licensing out the name. It was Mike DeLuca who took the first one, Blade. He and I came from the same neighborhood and he understood the value of the comics.”

Arad credits certain people at Sony for embracing Spider-Man. “Spider-Man was not an easy sell initially,” he said. “The major personality who pushed this back in the day was (Sony co-chair) Amy Pascal. She fell in love with the boy. It was (the late) John Calley, Amy and (producer) Matt Tolmach and (former Sony vice chair) Yair Landau.”

Next weekend openers: The frat-boy prank comedy Neighbors (UNI) which is playing predominantly with young males but delivers; Moms’ Night Out (Sony/TriStar) which should do well with the faith-based crowd, Chef (OPRD) with Jon Favreau and Sofia Vergara, and the animated Legends of Oz: Dorothy Returns (Clarius). Final Top 20 chart follows:

1). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 4,324 theaters / 3-day cume: $91.6M / Per screen: $21,186 / Wk 1

2). The Other Woman (FOX), 3,238 theaters (+33) / 3-day cume: $14.4M (-42%) / Per screen: $4,449 / Total cume: $47.5M / Wk 2

3). Heaven Is For Real (SONY),  2,930 theaters (+255) / 3-day cume: $8.6M (-40%) / Per screen: $2,936 / Total cume: $65.5M / Wk 3

4). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,179 theaters (-441) / 3-day cume: $7.7M (-52%) / Per screen: $2,446 / Total cume: $237.1M / Wk 5

5). Rio 2 (FOX), 3,314  theaters (-389) / 3-day cume: $7.7M (-44%) / Per screen: $2,327 / Total cume: $106.5M / Wk 4

6). Brick Mansions (REL), 2,647 theaters (0) / $3-day cume: $3.6M (-61%) / Per screen: $1,395 / Total cume: $15.6M / Wk 2

7). Divergent (LGF), 1,639 theaters (-427) / 3-day cume: $2.1M (-40%) / Per screen: $1,331 / Total cume: $142.6M / Wk 7

8). The Quiet Ones (LGF), 2,027 theaters (0) / 3-day cume: $1.9M (-49%) / Per screen: $984 / Total cume: $6.7M / Wk 2

9). The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 884 theaters (-137) / 3-day cume: $1.77M (-28%) / Per screen: $2,011 / Total cume: $51.5M / Wk 9

10). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,330 theaters (-270) / 3-day cume: $1.76M (-37%) / Per screen: $1,328 / Total cume: $55.5M / Wk 7

11). Bears (DIS), 1,790 theaters (+70) / 3-day cume: $1.7M (-54%) / Per screen: $955 / Total cume: $14.3M / Wk 3

12). Draft Day (LGF), 1,354 theaters (-726) / 3-day cume: $1.3M (-50%) / Per screen: $1,021 / Total cume: $26.4M / Wk 4

13). Transcendence (WB), 1,775 theaters (-1,680) / 3-day cume: $1.1M (-72%) / Per screen: $661 / Total cume: $21.3M / Wk 3

14). A Haunted House 2 (OPRD), 1,328 theaters (-982) / 3-day cume: $1M (-66%) / Per screen: $810 / Total cume: $16.1M / Wk 3

15). Noah (PAR), 929 theaters (-675) / 3-day cume: $900K (-61%) / Per screen: $969 / Total cume: $99M / Wk 6

16). Oculus (REL), 884 theaters (-997) / 3-day cume: $761K (-65%) / Per screen: $861 / Total cume: $26.7M / Wk 4

17). The Railway Man (TWC), 164 theaters (+8) / 3-day cume: $502K (-13%) / Per screen: $3,064 / Total cume: $1.6M / Wk 4

18). Fading Gigolo (MILLENT), 110 theaters (+73) / 3-day cume: $482K (+61%) / Per screen: $4,390 / Total cume: $1.1M / Wk 3

19). RoboCop (SONY), 231 theaters (+84) / 3-day cume: $404K (-329%) / Per screen: $1,751 / Total cume: $58.3M / Wk 12

20). Mr. Peabody & Sherman (FOX), 410 theaters (-58) / 3-day cume: $402K (-27%) / Per screen: $983 / Total cume: $108.5M / Wk 9

7TH UPDATE, 7:48 AM: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 fell just shy of making Sony’s expected $23.4M haul on Sunday so its opening weekend will be closer to $91.6M-$91.8M, according to this morning’s estimates which shows that it grossed $23M last night. ASM2 was done only around 30% from Saturday to Sunday; Captain America: The Winter Soldier was off 32% Saturday to Sunday in its opening weekend. Final numbers will be coming later today on the Box Office Top 20. ASM2 opened on Sunday and this morning we have new tallies on The Amazing Spider-Man 2‘s China grosses in Nancy Tartaglione’s international box office report (scroll down to see the story); More final international gross numbers will be added as we get them throughout the day and night.

5TH & 6TH UPDATES, SUNDAY, 8:27 AM: Sony just weighed in with its estimate of $92M, with an expected $23.4M today for its Spider-Man franchise pic. With an international cume of $277M, the franchise after this weekend will have grossed around $369M+ worldwide. The film becomes the second-highest domestic opener of 2014, only steps behind Disney/Marvel’s Captain America: The Winter Soldier, which opened to $95M exactly a month ago. Marvel is Hollywood’s long-established king now; it’s been a Marvel title that has opened every box office summer since 2007 … and to think from small beginnings in 1939 rose an empire. Sony also shared its exit polls on its franchise film: 67% general moviegoers were age 12+ and 33% of that make-up were families. Among the sample of non-parents, the audience was 61% male and 39% female, with 51% under 25 and 49% 25 and over. The franchise has traditionally played well across all demos. It has more of the comic-book, bloodless action in it that parents (responsible parents) don’t mind taking their young children to see. Captain America: The Winter Soldier, by comparison, was a non-stop shoot-em-up that plays strongly to a twentysomething audience … it had more bullets than The Walking Dead has zombies.

“It’s a great start to an incredible run,” said Rory Bruer, Sony’s president of worldwide distribution said of Amazing Spider-Man 2. “To have everything open now here and overseas, these are fantastic results across the board and we are in great shape. We’ve had stunning openings and great holds across the international markets.” Asked about the threat of Godzilla which opens in a mere two weeks, Bruer said: “It will perform, but by that point and time, we’ll be so well established, our holds will be strong. In the past, we’ve faced stiff competition and have met our goals so we’re not worried.”

IMAX numbers on Spidey also in: On 353 screens, ASM2 grossed $9.3 mil, which translates to a whopping $27K per screen average. Sixteen of the franchise’s top 20 runs (and all of the top five) were, not surprising IMAX theaters. It’s doing well also internationally on large-platform screens and is enjoying the largest day/date release in IMAX’s history in China. For more on international, see my colleague Nancy Tartaglione’s international box office report.

4th UPDATE, SUNDAY, 6:53 AM: With the weekend coming to a close, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 will end the weekend with a $90M to $92M 3-day weekend, matching Deadline’s initial estimates on Friday when we figured $91M+. The only question that remains is what the percentage fall will be on Sunday, another traditional family movie going day. Depending on that, the current range is $90.7M to $92M for an opening weekend (including the $8.7M from Thursday night late nights). My best guess is high end. Bottom line: This is not as high as Captain America: The Winter Soldier which grossed $95M in its first 3-day weekend, but it is a strong opening for Sony. Per screen, the Cap’s opening weekend was $24,129 and on the high end, Spidey’s per is $21,278. Still waiting on what is expected to be big numbers from overseas for ASM2 — China opened yesterday — and my colleague Nancy Tartaglione will bring Deadline readers the latest international numbers when we get them.

In comparison, the first ASM opened to $62M (starting on a Tuesday) and grossed a total of $262M in the domestic marketplace. In terms of previous Spider-Man performances, it did better than Spider-Man 2 (2004) which grossed $88.1M in its opening weekend and ended up at $373M domestically. Nautilus_1Sheet_Dom_ab02In terms of May openers, it puts it right smack between Fox’ X2:X-Men United which opened to $85.5M in 2003 and went onto gross $214.9M and Iron Man 2 (Par) which had an opening weekend of $102.1M and went onto gross $318.6M, according to grosses from Rentrak.

Here’s the rub: The lizard is coming.

Warner Bros. is unleashing Legendary Pictures’ Godzilla into the domestic market on May 16. That gives ASM2 only one more weekend prior whereas Captain America had several weekends to play out to bring in $237M after five weeks in play. Then on May 23, X-Men: Days of Future Past bows from Fox with Jennifer Lawrence in the film. Gulp. ASM2 got a B+ CinemaScore and an A- under 25 so it will get some positive word-of-mouth, especially in the demo it needs to attract.

But this is a different ballgame now. Gone are the days when pictures could play in the No. 1 spot for weeks … there barrage of tentpoles. In the late 1980s and even in the early 1990s, you had several pics that played for four weeks in the No. 1 … like Aliens, Platoon and even (unbelieveably so) Hook, Uncle Buck and Legends of the Fall. The last movie to hold the top spot for four weekends in a row was Hunger Games in 2012 and before that The Dark Knight in 2008. This is the reality of today’s movie business. The studios are playing Tentpole Dodgeball. And it’s only going to get worse.

the other womanThe Other Woman held well in its second frame, only falling around 40% from last weekend. It should bring in another $14.4M or so. (Fox says R$14.2M, but all other distribs have it higher). Fox can celebrate that today as well as its Rio2 finally passing the $100M mark after four weeks in release domestically. It stands at around $106.5M, having brought in another $7.6M this weekend. Heaven is For Real has been profitable for Sony already and it just keeps playing. It is already up to around $65.5M after pulling in another $8.6M this weekend to take the No. 3 spot in its third weekend out. For results of the other weekend opener, Belle from Fox Searchlight, please see Brian Brooks’ Specialty Box Office coverage.

1). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 4,324 theaters / $35.5M Fri. / $33.1M Sat. (-7%) / $23.2M Sun. (-30%) / 3-day cume: $90M to $92M / Wk 1

2). The Other Woman (FOX), 3,238 theaters (+33) / $4.8M Fri. / $6M Sat. (+26%) / $3.6M Sun. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $14.2M to $14.5M (-43%) / Total cume: $47.3M / Wk 2

3). Heaven Is For Real (SONY),  2,930 theaters (+255) / $2.4M Fri. / $3.5M Sat. (+48%) / 3-day cume: $8.6M (-40%) / Total cume: $65.5M / Wk 3

4). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,179 theaters (-441) / $2.1M Fri. / $3.5M Sat. (+69%) / $2.1M Sun. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $7.7M (-52%) / Total cume: $237.1M / Wk 5

5). Rio 2 (FOX), 3,314  theaters (-389) / $1.7M Fri. / $3.5M Sat. (+103%) / $2.3M Sun. (-33%) / 3-day cume: $7.6M (-45%) / Total cume: $106.4M / Wk 4

6). Brick Mansions (REL), 2,647 theaters (0) / $1.1M Fri. / $1.5M Sat. (+37%) / $915K Sun. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $3.5M (-63%) / Total cume: $15.4M / Wk 2

7). Divergent (LGF), 1,639 theaters (-427) / $615K Fri. / $1M Sat. (+61%) / $539K Sun. (-46%) / 3-day cume: $2.2M (-41%) / Total cume: $142.6M / Wk 7

8). The Quiet Ones (LGF), 2,027 theaters (0) / $670K Fri. / $870K Sat. (+30%) / $457K Sun. (-50%) / 3-day cume: $1.9M (-48%) / Total cume: $6.7M / Wk 2

9/10). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,330 theaters (-270) / $490K Fri. / $690K Sat. (+42%) / 552K Sun. (-20%) / 3-day cume: $1.73M (-38%) / Total cume: $55.5M / Wk 7

The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 884 theaters (-137) / $475K Fri. / $808K Sat. (+70%) / $452K Sun. (-44%) / 3-day cume: $1.73M (-28%) / Total cume: $51.5M / Wk 9

NOTEWORTHY: Belle (FSL), 4 theaters / $30,728 Fri. / Per screen average: $7,682 / Wk 1

3rd UPDATE, Saturday, 11:00 PM: As the Kentucky Derby played out today, I watched the numbers roll in for Spidey. Although the night isn’t over, it looks as though that The Amazing Spider-Man 2 is only going to be down an estimated 4% to 6% Saturday from Friday (that includes the $8.7M Thursday late night grosses). That translates to another $33.4M to $34M to bring its estimated gross around $90M to $92M+ at the moment. It’s the middle of the afternoon Sunday in China now so movie going there is in full swing for the franchise pic in this all-important territory. Those grosses should be particularly interesting to see in the AM.

the-amazing-spider-man-2-new-details-on-spideys-suitIn other news, The Other Woman looks to take in $6M to $6.2M for Fox to come in around $14.4M in its second weekend in theaters; total cume would be about right around $48M. Heaven is For Real took in about $3.5M+ and is still on track for about an $8.5M to $8.8M weekend to raise its cume to $65M+ while Captain America: The Winter Soldier commanded roughly $3.5M for a $7.7M 3-day and a total of $237M to date for Disney/Marvel. Lastly, the animated, family film Rio 2, which flew past $100M Friday in its fourth week of release for Fox, chased in another $3.5M tonight for an estimated $7.6M 3-day. More to come in the A.M. Stay tuned.

2nd UPDATE: Saturday, 7:20 AM: First of all, the Top Ten look pretty much the same in estimates from last night with some question about the No. 9 and 10 positions. Rio 2 broke $100M last night for Fox and The Other Woman is holding well for them at No. 2. Nice opening for Fox Searchlight’s Belle. Heaven Is For Real rising higher in profitability for Sony and steps over the Cap for No. 3. Chart is below with updates. The news of this weekend, of course, is Amazing Spider-Man 2. So let’s get to it:

Spidey swung in last night with $35.5M Friday night and depending on today’s numbers and how much of a bump it gets from family audiences — as the picture has traditionally played well across demos — looks to end up with anywhere from $90M to $92M for the 3-day, according to estimates. However, some have it barely breaking $90M. Those behind the webcrawler have been climbing the walls waiting to see how this weekend turns out and specifically movie-going today and tonight. There’s a lot riding on this film for the studio. Big budget — huge budget — its longest-running feature franchise and so it’s understandable that there has been some nail-biting. This picture, which stars Andrew Garfield, Emma Stone and Jamie Foxx as the villain, needs to make money and it has two weekends before Godzilla comes to play … er, prey. Amazing Spider-Man 2The production budget is said to be around $255M, with about $185M-$190M spent on marketing. That means all in it needs to make well over $752.2M worldwide (which is what the first installment grossed). About 65% of that came internationally.

The first installment of ASM opened with $62M and ended up with $262M domestically in 2012. In comparison, the first Spider-Man in 2002, opened to $114.8M on the same May weekend and ended up with $403.7M domestic.

While domestically, all eyes are on Saturday (today), internationally everyone is looking to Sunday when Spidey opens in China. ASM2 is well over $155M now internationally and Sony hopes to best the first installment in the market — it earned $48.8M in China two years ago. Why speak about international? Because it is a heavy part of the Spider-Man equation and has been growing in importance. Since the domestic audience has declined for Spidey year to year, what ASM2 doesn’t make stateside, it will need to make up the difference internationally and vice versa. The studio has two more ASM movies in the works … the next one is expected out in June 2016. The domestic audience has been softening and there’s no time to reboot again … so, gotta ask seriously now, how much money can Sony squeeze out of a single feature franchise?

PieChart_Spiderman2The last four Spider-Man movies have have all grossed more than $415M internationally which have fed worldwide grosses of over $750M. This time out internationally, Spidey doesn’t have to contend with Batman as The Dark Knight Rises dominated all territories and sucked roughly 65% of air out of the market two weeks after ASM opened in 2012. Sony distribution execs, knowing that it would have to deal with the next X-Men installment this time around, wisely opened earlier. Here is the current chart for the other films as it looks this morning:

1). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 4,324 theaters / $35.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $90M to $92M / Wk 1

2). The Other Woman (FOX), 3,238 theaters (+33) / $4.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $15.1M (-39%) / Total cume: $48.3M / Wk 2

3). Heaven Is For Real (SONY),  2,930 theaters (+255) / $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8.5M (-41%) / Total cume: $65.4M / Wk 3

4). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,179 theaters (-441) / $2.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.6M (-53%) / Total cume: $237M / Wk 5

5). Rio 2 (FOX), 3,314  theaters (-389) / $1.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.5M (-46%) / Total cume: $106.4M / Wk 4

6). Brick Mansions (REL), 2,647 theaters (0) / $1.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.5M (-63%) / Total cume: $15.4M / Wk 2

7). Divergent (LGF), 1,639 theaters (-427) / $615K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.1M (-42%) / Total cume: $142.6M / Wk 7

8). The Quiet Ones (LGF), 2,027 theaters (0) / $670K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.9M (-52%) / Total cume: $6.6M / Wk 2

9/10). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,330 theaters (-270) / $490K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.7M (-39%) / Total cume: $55.5M / Wk 7

The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 884 theaters (-137) / $475K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.7M (-28%) / Total cume: $51.5M / Wk 9

NOTEWORTHY: Belle (FSL), 4 theaters / $30,728 Fri. / Per screen average: $7,682 / Wk 1

1ST UPDATE, Friday, 11:02 PM: The Amazing Spider-Man 2 had a strong grip Friday night with an estimated take of $34M to $35M gross on track to open at $91M+ (depending on Saturday’s percentage drop). So our first estimates were right on the money … about 30% ahead the first installment’s opening of $62M. (In 2012, ASM opened on a Tuesday ahead of the July 4 holiday, which was a Wednesday). Right now, we’re figuring about a 10% drop although it might surprise as this picture plays to families and Saturdays and Sundays are prime movie-going days for the brood. So Saturday numbers are key.

Let’s face it: Is there any little boy right now who isn’t tugging on their Dad’s shirt sleeve asking to go see Spider-Man? It’s what the industry refers to as a four-quadrant picture, meaning basically it plays across all demos. It has a B+ CinemaScore and an A- for those under 25, so word of mouth will carry it well. Good for director Marc Webb and producers Matt Tolmach and Avi Arad along with the films’ bevy of writers. Have been watching and asking questions on this this today, and the franchise was about 20% to 22% behind Captain America: The Winter Soldier all day, but kicked into gear this evening after grossing $8.7M lastsp1 night in late shows. Remember, the $10.2M that the Cap did in late shows last month was 15% ahead of ASM2‘s $8.7M last night, but you got to take into account that the Captain got the added bonus of what was estimated to be a 14% surge from Spring Breakers which pushed it into a three-day gross of $95M.

ASM2, which bowed in a window of opportunity overseas a couple of weeks ago to a strong showing, has two weekends domestically to make its lion’s share before Warner Bros./Legendary Pics’ Godzilla stomps into theaters. The performance of Amazing Spider-Man 2 is a big deal for the studio. The production budget is said to be around $255M, with about $185M-$190M spent on marketing. That means all in it needs to make more than $752.2M worldwide (which is what the first installment grossed). About 65% of the first installment’s gross came from international markets.

In other box office news, in limited release from Fox Searchlight, the historical drama Belle made a tidy $29,000 Friday in four theaters for a very nice per screen of $7,250. It bowed in the No. 1 spot in three of its four theaters and … get this … actually outgrossed ASM2 at the Landmark tonight in West L.A. It’s from the same distributor that has nurtured The Grand Budapest Hotel.

Meanwhile, The Other Woman is holding strong — yes, it appears to have legs (groan, I know) –  as it’s only expected to drop about 41% in its second weekend for a possible $14.5M gross to bring its cume up to around $48M. theotherwomanAnd Sony ends up this weekend with the No. 1 and No. 3 spot as Heaven Is for Real just keeps playing and playing … it will bring in around another $8M+ for the 3-day and has grossed $65M to date. This little film is going to be very profitable for Sony/TriStar. Brick Mansions, the late Paul Walker’s last film, is falling like a … brick. Down 63% in its second frame for Relativity and Europa Corp, while The Quiet Ones (LGF) scared Open Road’s A Haunted House 2 out of the Top Ten, dipping 53%. Transcendence and Bears also dropped out of the top ten after three weeks while God’s Not Dead and The Grand Budapest Hotel came back in. Remember those profitable pics? Very profitable pics. Here is the chart. As always, numbers will likely change in the morning:

1). The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (SONY) 4,324 theaters / $34M to $35M Fri. / 3-day cume: $91M+ / Wk 1

2). The Other Woman (FOX), 3,238 theaters (+33) / $4.5M Fri. / 3-day cume: $14.5M (-41%) / Total cume: $47.7M / Wk 2

3). Heaven Is For Real (SONY),  2,930 theaters (+255) / $2.2M to $2.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $8M+ (-43%) / Total cume: $65M+ / Wk 3

4). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,179 theaters (-441) / $2.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.7M (52%) / Total cume: $237.1M / Wk 5

5). Rio 2 (FOX), 3,314  theaters (-389) / $1.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $7.6M (-45%) / Total cume: $106.6M / Wk 4

6). Brick Mansions (REL), 2,647 theaters (0) / $1.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.5M (-63%) / Total cume: $15.5M / Wk 2

7). Divergent (LGF), 1,639 theaters (-427) / $616K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2M (-43%) / Total cume: $142.6M / Wk 7

8). The Quiet Ones (LGF), 2,027 theaters (0) / $657K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.84M (-53%) / Total cume: $6.6M / Wk 2

9). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,330 theaters (-270) / $530K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.81M (-35%) / Total cume: $55.6M / Wk 7

10). The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 884 theaters (-137) / $477K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.77M (-28%) / Total cume: $51.5M / Wk 9

For more estimates listed by title, see box office results here...