Box Office: Lukewarm Thursday Bow For ‘Transcendence’, ‘Rio 2′ Might Get Its No. 1 Weekend Yet; ‘Heaven Is For Real’ May Surprise

transcendence-trailer-johnny-deppEven with taking over Captain America: The Winter Soldier‘s IMAX theaters this weekend, the fact that it is a new sci-fi thriller, Johnny Depp’s the lead and it’s the only real newcomer with a shot at No. 1, Transcendences debut near the top of the box office is doubtful this weekend based on Thursday night’s grosses. Bets are on that Fox’s Rio 2 may end up with around $26M, Disney/Marvel’s Captain America 2 next with $22M-$23M and Warner Bros.’ Transcendence at No. 3 with around $18M-$20M. Those predictions come as Transcendence grossed only $850K on Thursday.

HeavenisforrealtheaterposterA question mark is Sony’s Heaven Is For Real and how many infrequent moviegoers (i.e. faith-based crowd) may boost attendance numbers. Sony noted this morning that it seems to be crossing over to a faith-based crowd and word is spreading on social media. It certainly seems to be. The film has an overall CinemaScore of A and an A+ with the under-35 demo. Right now the Greg-Kinnear-starring film based on the bestselling book is tracking around $12M-$14M for the three-day, similar to Marlon Wayans’ Haunted House 2 from Open Road. Heaven Is For Real took in a stellar $3.7M — on a Wednesday — and last night took in another $1.37M for a two-day cume so far of $7M, which puts it in line for a 5-day gross of around $20M for the Randall Wallace-directed drama.

Tonight’s business should be strong because today is Good Friday, but come Easter Sunday, moviegoing traditionally slows on the Christian holy holiday. Easter is unlike strong holidays such as Thanksgiving or Christmas. Read More »

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‘Amazing Spider-Man 2′ Swinging Strong In International Debut As It Casts Global Web

By | Thursday April 17, 2014 @ 5:25pm PDT

Nancy Tartaglione contributed to this report.

the-amazing-spider-man-2-new-details-on-spideys-suitThere’s absolutely no arachnophobia in international markets for The Amazing Spider-Man 2. Sony Pictures Entertainment’s latest film in its mega-franchise opened in 15 territories — including across Europe in the U.K. Spain, Germany and Belgium and in other top markets of Mexico and Australia — and numbers are just now rolling in … and they are very strong and off to a great start.

In four markets — the U.K., Germany, Australia and Belgium — the movie already has logged the biggest opening days of the year. In the U.K., Spidey grossed $2.73M, which is not surprising since it’s a top school holiday and kids are flooding into the market now. Back in 2012, The Amazing Spider-Man made $40.3M in the U.K. all in, so this is one of the most important markets for the studio. The film grabbed $1.44M Down Under in Australia, a big $1.3M in Germany and in Belgium $190K for its opening day. Other markets where Spidey opened are Austria, Denmark, Israel, New Zealand, Portugal, Switzerland, Uraguay, Bulgaria, and Sweden. Read More »

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BOX OFFICE: ‘Rio 2′ To Chase Out ‘Captain America’ For No. 1 At Box Office?

By | Thursday April 10, 2014 @ 1:15pm PDT

RIO-2-AfficheRio 2 will fly into theaters this weekend from Fox and easily peck away the rest of the flock of openers that includes Lionsgate’s Draft Day, the third Kevin Costner starrer this year,, and the horror film … Read More »

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Global Showbiz Watch 33: The Amy Poehler Panel Podcast

Global Showbiz Watch podcast 33In this week’s podcast, Deadline International Editor Nancy Tartaglione speaks from the Mip-TV conference in Cannes with host David Bloom. With lots of news coming out the show’s first couple of days, highlights include the panel Nancy moderated Monday featuring Amy Poehler and the team behind Comedy Central’s Broad City. Nancy and David also discuss some of the increasingly out-there reality formats built on surreal social experiments, a big content deal for Sony in Scandinavia and yet another hot format for sale from Israel’s Keshet. Nancy and David also look at filmmaking in Rwanda 20 years after the genocide that killed 800,000 people, and nominees for this year’s BAFTA TV Awards. Finally, they wrap up the week’s international box office.

Global Showbiz Watch podcast 33 (.MP3 version)
Global Showbiz Watch podcast 33 (.M4A version)

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BOX OFFICE FINAL: ‘Captain America’ Smashes April Opening Record With Estimated $95M For Disney/Marvel, Includes $10.2M Thursday Previews; Year Up 6.8%, Weekend Ahead 23% From 2013

OPENING: Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), smashes April opening records with estimated $95M to $96.2M opening and ended up at $95M.

captain-america-wallpaper-batman-vs-superman-avengers-2-captain-america-2-spider-man-2-is-this-the-golden-age-of-superhero-movies

UPDATED, MONDAY, 1:00 PM: Captain America: The Winter Soldier‘s final numbers are in, and it’s on the low end of the estimate to $95M with international numbers still coming in. But what a huge start overseas: The Disney/Marvel franchise has commanded an estimated international cume of $207.1M, with $32.9M coming this weekend from China alone. So worldwide, it already has grossed $302.1M to date. It’s about 47% ahead of the first Captain America, which made $193.9M overseas and ended its run with $370.5M worldwide in 2011.

Domestically, it should be clear sailing next weekend for Captain America as bowing will be the animated kid’s fare Rio 2 From Fox, which has already hit overseas markets to gross $55.4M. It hasn’t swung into China or Mexico yet. The first Rio made $143M domestically and $484.6M worldwide in 2011. But family audiences are growing weary of both Muppets Most Wanted and Mr. Peabody & Sherman, which have been in the marketplace for three and five weeks, respectively, so its prime time to come out with another family film. In addition, Lionsgate Films’ opens in wide release the Ivan Reitman-directed Draft Daystarring Kevin Costner, who must be exhausted from the number of press junkets he’s had to go through this year with Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, 3 Days to Kill and now Draft Day. Blumhouse Prods’ horror flick Oculus from Relativity hopes to mirror the success of Evil DeadOculus premiered at Toronto while Evil Dead also went the festival circuit last year at SXSW before bowing in April. In limited release from The Weinstein Company will be opening the Colin Firth-Nicole Kidman starrer Railway Man, the WWII film based on the Eric Lomax’s best-selling book.

1). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,938 theaters / 3-day cume: $95M ($10.2M from previews) / Per screen average: $24,129 / Wk 1

2). Noah (PAR), 3,571 theaters (+4) / 3-day cume: $17M (-61%) / Per screen average: $4,773 / Total cume: $72.3M / Wk 2

3). Divergent (LGF), 3,631 theaters (-305) / 3-day cume: $12.9M (-49%) /Per screen average: $3,573 /  Total cume: $114M / Wk 3

4). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,758 theaters (+580) / 3-day cume: $7.7M (-12%) / Per screen average: $4,416 / Total cume: $32.5M / Wk 3

5). Muppets Most Wanted (DIS), 3,052 theaters (-142) / 3-day cume: $6.1M (-46%) / Per screen average: $2,014 / Total Cume: $42M / Wk 3

6). The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 1,263 theaters (+286) / 3-day cume: $6.1M (-28%) / Per screen average: $4,842 / Total cume: $33.19M / Wk 5

7). Mr. Peabody And Sherman (FOX), 2,931 theaters (-368) / 3-day cume: $5.1M (-43%) / Per screen average: $1,751 / Total cume: $102M / Wk 5

8). Sabotage (OPRD), 2,486 theaters / 3-day cume: $1.9M (-62%) / Per screen average: $2,486 / Total cume: $8.8M / Wk 2

9). Need for Speed (DIS), 1779 theaters (-926) /3-day cume: $1.8M (-57%) / Per screen average: $1,016 / Total cume: $40.8M / WK 4

10). Non-Stop (UNI), 2,515 theaters (-430) / 3-day cume: $1.7M (-55%) / Per screen average: $1,040 /  Total cume: $88.1M / Wk 6 Read More »

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INTL BOX OFFICE UPDATE: ‘Captain America: The Winter Soldier’ Captures $75.2M; ‘Noah’ Swells To $51.5M Cume; ‘Rio 2′ Breaks Brazil Records; ‘Lego’ Passes $400M; More

Highlights: Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS) No. 1 with $75.2M in 32 markets; Noah (PAR) adds $33.6M for $51.5M overseas cume; Rio 2 (FOX) tops Brazil charts with $7.6M bow; The Lego Movie (WB) builds to $400.5M; 300: Rise Of An Empire (WB) crosses $200M; Frozen (DIS) becomes all-time global animated champ; Spanish Affairs (UNI) hot, hot, hot at home with +15% jump

cinemaworld5TH UPDATE, 2:10 PM PT: Updated grosses are in now for the following films: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, Spanish Affairs, Rio 2, Monuments Men, The Lego Movie and 300: Rise of an Empire, among others.

4TH UPDATE, SUNDAY 5:38 PM PT: This weekend saw a big 47% rise across the Top 10 movies over last week’s frame, although it was still off 22% from last year. At the same time in 2013, G.I. Joe; Retaliation debuted with just over $80M in 54 markets; Captain America: The Winter Soldier‘s $75.2M take this weekend came from just 32 markets. The Croods and Jack The Giant Slayer were also big players overseas in 2013. Rounding out the Top 5 after Captain America 2, this weekend’s big draws were Noah, Mr Peabody & Sherman, Rio 2 and Need For Speed. Next week, Divergent adds the UK, Italy and Mexico, among others. It’s already playing in about 18 smaller markets outside the U.S., but numbers are being kept close to the vest by Lionsgate until the bigger bows. Other titles already on release in some parts are adding significant markets including Captain America 2, which goes to Russia, Australia and China, among others; Noah, which docks in about 24 territories including Germany, Brazil, the UK and Spain; and Rio 2, which hits the UK, Germany, Spain, Taiwan and elsewhere. Until then, this weekend’s box office is broken down in key territories below the original posts.

Related: BOX OFFICE FINAL: ‘Noah’ Rises, ‘God’s Not Dead’ Surprises As Schwarzenegger Brought To Knees

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Specialty Box Office: ‘Raid 2′, ‘Finding Vivian Maier’ Start Solid, ‘Cesar Chavez’ Posts Middling Results

By | Sunday March 30, 2014 @ 10:13am PDT

boxoffice-specialty__111212022432-200x150 (1)The Raid 2 and documentary Finding Vivian Maier found solid footing in their opens this weekend, while Cesar Chavez had a mixed start as holdover juggernaut The Grand Budapest Hotel continued to hold sway as March makes its exit. Sony Classics ventured into the action-thriller genre with The Raid 2 and scored a solid open. The feature by Gareth Evans, a follow-up to his 2012 pic The Raid: Redemption, grossed nearly $177K in just seven locations, by far taking the highest per-theater average of this weekend’s reporting newcomers with a solid $25,272. the-raid-2Raid: Redemption grossed nearly $214K when it opened in March 2012, averaging $15,270. It went on to cume over $4.1M domestically. “There’s a loyal following to the first film, but the word-of-mouth from all the screenings we’ve had have been great,” SPC co-president Michael Barker told me this week. “It was a triumph at Sundance and at SXSW. All these factors foreshadow a good run.” It will head into about 30 theaters in five or six cities this week before heading wide into 1,200 locations.

Related: Box Office: ‘Noah’ Rises, ‘God’s Not Dead’ Surprises As Schwarzenegger Brought To Knees

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – How The Minions Came To Rule Hollywood

Mike Fleming

Well, now that Universal‘s Despicable Me 2 has proven itself 2013′s Most Valuable Blockbuster, the film’s impresario, Illumination Entertainment founder Chris Meledandri (below), deserves to take a victory lap. More seriously, the tournament was conducted to give a clearer idea, beyond the weekend and annual box office standings, of the profits and Total Cash on Cash returns that films generate. These are the factors that keep studios in business and keep co-financiers coming back for more. As a final cap, Deadline Hollywood provides readers with the revenue and costs charts of all 16 films that participated in the inaugural tournament. This data was always expected to be the most memorable part of this exercise.

Despicable Me 2 Chris Meledandri Profit

As a refresher, here’s how our tournament played out, with links to each game: Read More »

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‘Noah’ Late Nights Tally $1.6M On Road To No. 1, ‘Divergent’ Expected at No. 2, Third May Be ‘Budapest Hotel’ Or Schwarzenegger-Starrer ‘Sabotage’

By | Friday March 28, 2014 @ 8:34am PDT

hi-res-still-from-noah-movieThe dark epic Darren Aronofsky film Noah got off to a good start domestically last night in late nights that started at 7 PM taking in an estimated $1.6M for Paramount and New Regency. Also, word is from distributors that the … Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster Championship Game – #1 ‘Iron Man 3′ Vs. #3 ‘Despicable Me 2′

By | Thursday March 27, 2014 @ 3:08pm PDT
Mike Fleming

Iron Man 3 Despicable Me 2 ProfitIt’s tipoff time for the championship matchup to determine Deadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster of 2013. Stay tuned for our version of the postgame show, where we peel the curtain back on the data we commissioned from insiders to determine just how profitable a movie really is.

DeadlineBracket_Final

The Matchup: After surviving a bruising battle with #5 seed The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, #1 Iron Man 3 takes the court against #3 Despicable Me 2, a film that came through a pick ‘em matchup with #2 seed Frozen. Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster Final Four – #2 ‘Frozen’ Vs. #3 ‘Despicable Me 2′

By | Wednesday March 26, 2014 @ 1:42pm PDT
Mike Fleming

We are down to the nitty gritty on Deadline’s search for Despicable Me 2 Frozen Profit2013’s Most Valuable Blockbuster. This is the second of our two showdowns today. Fueled by the numbers furnished by our insiders, we’ll find out just how profitable a movie really is.

DeadlineBracket_FinalFour

TODAY’S OTHER FINAL FOUR MATCHUP
#1 ‘Iron Man 3′ Vs. #5 ‘The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’

The Matchup: The battle of the year’s biggest animation film hits pits the year’s second-highest global gross film Frozen against Universal and Chris Meledandri’s Illumination Entertainment’s hit Despicable Me 2, the year’s third-highest global grossing film. To get here, Frozen beat The Great Gatsby and Monsters University, while Despicable Me 2 beat Star Trek Into Darkness and Fast & Furious 6.

The Box Score: What the numbers say.

The Bottom Line: This is tougher than the other Final Four matchup — and that’s saying something. Read More »

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Why Russia’s 50% Cap On Hollywood Films Isn’t A Likely Proposition

By | Wednesday March 26, 2014 @ 12:37pm PDT

russia_flag_largeWith all the recent turmoil in Russia, there was bound to be some spillover to the entertainment industry. But are reports of a draft bill to set a 50% limit on the amount of Hollywood movies imported per annum worth getting upset over just yet? Executives I’ve spoken to in the past day don’t think so.

While Hollywood already faces a quota system in China, and while Russia seems to be acting at will these days, it would be premature to sound any alarm bells in Tinseltown, I’m told. The bill being readied at the State Duma on limiting Hollywood imports was written by Deputy Robert Schlegel of the United Russia party, which supports President Vladimir Putin. His view, according to the Izvestia daily, is that “We basically show American films that promote the stereotypes, national interests and values of the United States… Many of these are low quality. Russia can produce its own films, which will be interesting to viewers.”

A bill aiming to cap foreign films at 20% was unsuccessful last year, and it looks unlikely a move to limit them to 50% would go forward, although Russian Culture Minister Vladimir Medinsky has previously made noise about cracking down on Hollywood hegemony. Never say never, but one studio exec I spoke with feels it “doesn’t sound realistic.” Russian exhibitors, “would all be pissed off. They don’t have the movies” to fill the void that would be created. The same person added that if the aim were to blow back at the U.S. for its recent sanctions against certain officials over action in Ukraine, there are bigger fish to fry like the energy or automobile sector. “It would piss us off… It would hurt Hollywood, but doesn’t hurt America.” Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster Final Four – #1 ‘Iron Man 3′ Vs. #5 ‘The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’

By | Wednesday March 26, 2014 @ 10:00am PDT
Mike Fleming

We are down to the nitty gritty on Deadline’s search for Hunger Games Catching Fire Iron Man 3 Profit2013’s Most Valuable Blockbuster. This is the first of two showdowns today. Fueled by the numbers furnished by our insiders, we’ll find out just how profitable these movies really are.

DeadlineBracket_FinalFour

OTHER FINAL FOUR MATCHUP
#2 ‘Frozen’ Vs. #3 ‘Despicable Me 2′

The Matchup: This battle between Katniss Everdeen and Tony Stark puts the year’s highest domestic-grossing film, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire, against Iron Man 3, which turned in the highest offshore gross.

The Box Score: What the numbers say.

Robert Downey Jr Iron Man 3

The Bottom Line: #1 seed Iron Man 3 got here by beating The Conjuring and Gravity, while #5 The Hunger Games 2 beat World War Z and turned in an upset by besting The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug. According to our experts, Robert Downey Jr received first-dollar gross at around $10 million against 10%, putting his payday around $73 million. The film was the year’s top worldwide grosser with $1.2 million and clocked in as the fifth-highest-grossing film of all time, trailing only Avatar, Titanic, The Avengers and the Harry Potter finale. It had the ninth-biggest foreign opening weekend of all time, and the sixth-largest worldwide opening ever. It completely righted the stumble that was Iron Man 2. On the downside, Marvel owed this movie to Paramount as part of that original financing and distribution agreement, so Paramount, which did the marketing and distribution, took in a 9% fee that amounted to $89 million. The film had a net production cost of $200 million, and the global P&A spend was $130 million worldwide.

Hunger Games Catching Fire Box OfficeThe Hunger Games: Catching Fire set records of its own. It crushed past records for a Thanksgiving holiday opener — both for weekend and the five-day holiday period. Its $71 million opening day was the seventh-best domestic opening single day total ever, and its $158 million opening weekend was the sixth-highest opening weekend in movie history. Because Lionsgate pre-sells foreign (much like New Line did for The Lord Of The Rings trilogy and Summit did with Twilight Saga), the mini-major doesn’t reap the full dividends of its international performance the way Disney did on Iron Man 3, and star Jennifer Lawrence was paid $10 million upfront against backend. Between her, Liam Hemsworth, Josh Hutcherson and director Francis Lawrence, our experts place the participations at $21 million. The film had a net production cost of $130 million, and Lionsgate spent $50 million for domestic P&A.

The Winner: This is a tough one. Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – #7 ‘Monsters University’ Vs. #2 ‘Frozen’

By | Tuesday March 25, 2014 @ 3:00pm PDT
Mike Fleming

Monsters University Frozen ProfitThe final eight films in Deadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster movie tournament face off today. This is the fourth of our quarterfinal matchups and for the first time we reveal the numbers behind the numbers that show just how Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – #6 ‘Fast & Furious 6′ Vs. #3 ‘Despicable Me 2′

By | Tuesday March 25, 2014 @ 1:00pm PDT
Mike Fleming

Fast & Furious 6 Despicable Me 2 ProfitThe final eight films in Deadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster movie tournament face off today. This is the third of our quarterfinal matchups and for the first time we reveal the numbers behind the numbers that show just how profitable a movie really is.

DeadlineBracket_2ndRound

Fast6-Despicable-meThe Matchup: This amounts to an internal skirmish within Universal Pictures, between the studio’s most dependable franchise and its next one. Can Gru and a bunch of adorable minions in Despicable Me 2 outmuscle the muscle cars and cast of Fast & Furious 6 including Vin Diesel, Dwayne Johnson, Paul Walker, Jason Statham and Tyrese? Luckily for the Minions, this doesn’t involve bench-pressing. Game On.

The Box Score: Here is how the two films project in revenue and costs.

Vin Diesel

The Bottom Line: Fast 6 got here by besting another animated film in the #11 seed The Croods. Despicable Me 2 cruised past #14 film Star Trek Into Darkness. While Despicable Me 2 showed significant improvement over its first film, Fast 6 has steadily built its gross, to the point where its sixth film was the highest grosser both domestically and overseas. But here is where the Minions deliver a beat-down. Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – #5 ‘The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’ Vs. #4 ‘The Hobbit: Desolation Of Smaug’

Mike Fleming

Hobbit Desolation Of Smaug Hunger Games Catching Fire ProfitThe final eight films in Deadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster movie tournament face off today. This is the second of our quarterfinal matchups and for the first time we reveal the numbers behind the numbers that show just how profitable a movie really is.

DeadlineBracket_2ndRound

Hunger-Games-HobbitThe Matchup: There are similarities here that go beyond each of these being the second installment of huge global franchises. How huge? MGM, which was frozen in suspended animation not that long ago, is flush and considering an IPO because of the fortunes derived from its share of The Hobbit franchise, and James Bond. On the other side, The Hunger Games is doing for Lionsgate what The Twilight Saga did for its merger partner, Summit Entertainment. It is driving the fortunes of those combined companies, emboldening its creative team to take chances on building new YA franchises as it did with the weekend’s top-grossing film Divergent.

The Box Score: Here is how the films compare in revenue, ancillary projections and profits.

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – #1 ‘Iron Man 3′ Vs. #8 ‘Gravity’

By | Tuesday March 25, 2014 @ 9:00am PDT
Mike Fleming

Gravity Iron Man 3 ProfitThe final eight films in Deadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster movie tournament face off today. This is the first of our quarterfinal matchups and for the first time we reveal our numbers behind the numbers that show just Read More »

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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – #7 ‘Monsters University’ Vs. #10 ‘Thor: The Dark World’; #2 ‘Frozen’ Vs. #15 ‘The Great Gatsby’

Mike Fleming

The fourth of four posts today Frozen Thor: The Dark World Profitin Deadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster tournament. The subsequent rounds will play out next week.

Other Matchups:
#1 ‘Iron Man 3′ Vs. #16 ‘The Conjuring’
#3 ‘Despicable Me 2′ Vs. #14 Star Trek Into Darkness’
#4 ‘Hobbit: Desolation Of Smaug’ Vs. #13 ‘Oz The Great And Powerful’
#5 ‘The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’ Vs. #12 ‘World War Z’
#6 ‘Fast & Furious 6′ Vs. #11 ‘The Croods’
#8 ‘Gravity’ Vs. #9 ‘Man Of Steel’

DeadlineBracket_1stRound

SWEET 16

#7 MONSTERS UNIVERSITY Vs. #10 THOR: THE DARK WORLD

Monsters-ThorHow They Got Here: Monsters University might well be the most stealthy of all the films that grossed more than three-quarters of a billion dollars worldwide. The film was the seventh-largest domestic grosser of the year, and did near double that abroad. Pixar’s representative in the tournament turned thorin the second-largest gross of all films from the John Lasseter hit machine, second-largest G-rated film, and is Pixar’s third biggest overall film ever. Thor: The Dark World continues the Marvel superhero juggernaut, and it did particularly well in China, Russia and the UK. While the hammer-wielding hero pales compared to Iron Man, the sequel bettered the original film in both domestic and overseas for a total tally of $645 million.

The Bottom Line: Thor 2 cost $170 million to make, per our experts, and because Marvel is so stingy to everyone but Robert Downey Jr, there are modest participations here that amount to around $12 million. Monsters University cost $200 million, and that include pricey paydays for returning voicers like John Goodman and Billy Crystal. Participations clocked in at around $13.5 million.

The Winner: Neither gains much of an edge because each is MonstersIncthe second installment of a franchise, though Thor 2 probably amps up expectations of the next installments of Marvel’s biggest jewel, The Avengers. So we go to the profit numbers. According to our experts, Monsters University will return $179.8 million to Disney, besting the $139.4 million that Thor 2 returns to Disney. Total cash-on-cash return edge goes to Monsters University, at 1.36 to the 1.32 turned in by Thor 2. Disney is the big winner here, but Monsters University advances.
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2013 Most Valuable Blockbuster – #6 ‘Fast & Furious 6′ Vs. #11 ‘The Croods’; #3 ‘Despicable Me 2′ Vs. #14 Star Trek Into Darkness’

Mike Fleming

The third of four posts today in Fast & Furious 6 Despicable Me 2 ProfitDeadline’s Most Valuable Blockbuster tournament. The subsequent rounds will play out next week.

Other Matchups:
#1 ‘Iron Man 3′ Vs. #16 ‘The Conjuring’
#2 ‘Frozen’ Vs. #15 ‘The Great Gatsby’
#4 ‘Hobbit: Desolation Of Smaug’ Vs. #13 ‘Oz The Great And Powerful’
#5 ‘The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’ Vs. #12 ‘World War Z’
#7 ‘Monsters University’ Vs. #10 ‘Thor: The Dark World’
#8 ‘Gravity’ Vs. #9 ‘Man Of Steel’

 

DeadlineBracket_1stRound

SWEET 16

#6 FAST & FURIOUS 6 Vs. #11 THE CROODS

Fast-CroodsHow They Got Here: Fast & Furious 6 is the last one directed by Justin Lin, who took this off franchise life support. His finale was the ninth-highest domestic grosser of the year and eighth-biggest worldwide grosser with a $789M global tally. It continued the momentum of Universal’s most valuable live-action franchise, and of course all this happened before the tragic death of stalwart Paul Walker, which has dramatically A scene from The Croodsimpacted the next film that will resume production at month’s end. Up against it is #11 grosser The Croods, another powerhouse animated film from DreamWorks Animation that got an Oscar nom for Best Animated Picture.

The Bottom Line: Both films are burdened by high production costs, with Fast & Furious carrying more in talent participations, and The Croods paying an 8% distribution fee to Fox. Our experts peg the Fast & Furious budget at $260 million, a huge number that is much higher than what the studio admitted to. The Croods tab was $175 million in production FastFurious6costs.

The Winner: Per our experts, this one turns out to be a close call. Our experts say that Fast & Furious 6 made $135.1 million profit for Universal, while The Croods turned in $106.5 million in profit to DreamWorks Animation. Given the durability of the race car franchise, I’m going to give this round to Fast & Furious 6.
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