BOX OFFICE FINAL: ‘Captain America’ Smashes April Opening Record With Estimated $95M For Disney/Marvel, Includes $10.2M Thursday Previews; Year Up 6.8%, Weekend Ahead 23% From 2013

OPENING: Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), smashes April opening records with estimated $95M to $96.2M opening and ended up at $95M.

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UPDATED, MONDAY, 1:00 PM: Captain America: The Winter Soldier‘s final numbers are in, and it’s on the low end of the estimate to $95M with international numbers still coming in. But what a huge start overseas: The Disney/Marvel franchise has commanded an estimated international cume of $207.1M, with $32.9M coming this weekend from China alone. So worldwide, it already has grossed $302.1M to date. It’s about 47% ahead of the first Captain America, which made $193.9M overseas and ended its run with $370.5M worldwide in 2011.

Domestically, it should be clear sailing next weekend for Captain America as bowing will be the animated kid’s fare Rio 2 From Fox, which has already hit overseas markets to gross $55.4M. It hasn’t swung into China or Mexico yet. The first Rio made $143M domestically and $484.6M worldwide in 2011. But family audiences are growing weary of both Muppets Most Wanted and Mr. Peabody & Sherman, which have been in the marketplace for three and five weeks, respectively, so its prime time to come out with another family film. In addition, Lionsgate Films’ opens in wide release the Ivan Reitman-directed Draft Daystarring Kevin Costner, who must be exhausted from the number of press junkets he’s had to go through this year with Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit, 3 Days to Kill and now Draft Day. Blumhouse Prods’ horror flick Oculus from Relativity hopes to mirror the success of Evil DeadOculus premiered at Toronto while Evil Dead also went the festival circuit last year at SXSW before bowing in April. In limited release from The Weinstein Company will be opening the Colin Firth-Nicole Kidman starrer Railway Man, the WWII film based on the Eric Lomax’s best-selling book.

1). Captain America: The Winter Soldier (DIS), 3,938 theaters / 3-day cume: $95M ($10.2M from previews) / Per screen average: $24,129 / Wk 1

2). Noah (PAR), 3,571 theaters (+4) / 3-day cume: $17M (-61%) / Per screen average: $4,773 / Total cume: $72.3M / Wk 2

3). Divergent (LGF), 3,631 theaters (-305) / 3-day cume: $12.9M (-49%) /Per screen average: $3,573 /  Total cume: $114M / Wk 3

4). God’s Not Dead (FREE), 1,758 theaters (+580) / 3-day cume: $7.7M (-12%) / Per screen average: $4,416 / Total cume: $32.5M / Wk 3

5). Muppets Most Wanted (DIS), 3,052 theaters (-142) / 3-day cume: $6.1M (-46%) / Per screen average: $2,014 / Total Cume: $42M / Wk 3

6). The Grand Budapest Hotel (FSL), 1,263 theaters (+286) / 3-day cume: $6.1M (-28%) / Per screen average: $4,842 / Total cume: $33.19M / Wk 5

7). Mr. Peabody And Sherman (FOX), 2,931 theaters (-368) / 3-day cume: $5.1M (-43%) / Per screen average: $1,751 / Total cume: $102M / Wk 5

8). Sabotage (OPRD), 2,486 theaters / 3-day cume: $1.9M (-62%) / Per screen average: $2,486 / Total cume: $8.8M / Wk 2

9). Need for Speed (DIS), 1779 theaters (-926) /3-day cume: $1.8M (-57%) / Per screen average: $1,016 / Total cume: $40.8M / WK 4

10). Non-Stop (UNI), 2,515 theaters (-430) / 3-day cume: $1.7M (-55%) / Per screen average: $1,040 /  Total cume: $88.1M / Wk 6 Read More »

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UPDATE: DreamWorks Animation Shares Slide After ‘Peabody & Sherman’s’ Weaker Than Expected Open

UPDATE, 1:01 PM: Investors seemed to sour on the numbers over the course of the trading day, with DreamWorks Animation closing at $29.05, -1.4%. Sterne Agee’s Vasily Karasyov joined the company critics saying that Mr. Peabody & Sherman “is on track to generate $310M in global box office, which would translate into an $84M write-down.”

PREVIOUS, 8:43 AM: The $32.M weekend domestic box office for Mr. Peabody & Sherman was lower than the $43.7M average for DreamWorks Animation‘s recent original films, and less than most analysts anticipated. Mr-Peabody-Sherman-Official-Trailer-9But it was strong enough to leave the basic debate over DreamWorks Animation’s stock intact with shares up less than 1% to $29.74 in morning trading. Cowen and Co’s Doug Creutz leads the naysayers, dropping his price target for DWA to $21 from $35. Following losses for Turbo and Rise Of The Guardians, he says “the company has been piling up an increasingly alarming film body count over the past few years.” Calling P&S “just another dog,” he predicts that the film will merely break even: He’s concerned that it will struggle in the U.S. with school spring breaks delayed by the later than usual date for Easter (April 20). In addition, in seven other markets (UK, France, Argentina, Germany, Mexico, Russia, and Spain), P&S “opened 37% below The Croods and 22% below Turbo.”

Others are more hopeful. Stifel’s Benjamin Mogil acknowledges that that the domestic opening was softer than expected, but adds that its “A” rating at CinemaScore means that “the next two weeks Read More »

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Analysts Question Prospects For ‘Mr. Peabody & Sherman’ After DreamWorks Animation’s ‘Turbo’ Loss

By | Wednesday February 26, 2014 @ 7:30am PST

DreamWorks Animation shares are down 13% in early trading this morning after last night’s disappointing Q4 report that included a $13.5M writedown for Turbo, a film that CEO Jeffrey Katzenberg previously said would be profitable. Peabody and ShermanThe weak performance added to analyst concerns that DreamWorks Animation’s Mr. Peabody & Sherman may also fall short of investor expectations after March 7 when it’s released in the U.S. Here’s the early line following last night’s report and conference call:

  • Sterne Agee’s Vasily Karasyov (“Underperform” rating on DWA with a price target of $17 a share): Peabody & Sherman‘s opening numbers in the UK and France “look soft while the production cost is $18M higher than that for Turbo, increasing the probability of another write-down,” he says. The film based on the classic TV animated characters will generate $160M at domestic box offices and $280M abroad, he projects, but after losses for Turbo and Rise Of The Guardians “the risk is squarely to the downside.”
  • Janney Capital Markets’ Tony Wible (Buy, fair value estimate $39): He projects $125M at U.S. box offices for P&S after a $25M opening weekend. Even so,

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International Box Office: ‘Frozen’ Hits China, ‘47 Ronin’ To Pass $100M, ‘RoboCop’ No. 1 in 10 Markets

cinemaworld1__140113015419UPDATED Monday, 12:25 P.M.: Spain and Germany have been added and numbers updated. We will continue to add numbers as we receive them. The U.S. box office monster The Lego Movie updated grosses have been input.

PREVIOUSLY, Sunday, 11:28 A.M.: This weekend is down just about 8% off last year, an improvement off last week’s 25% drop in the comparable time frame. Walt Disney Studios’ Frozen pushed past the $900M worldwide mark this weekend to $913.7M. In China, it took in an estimated $13.7M since bowing on Wednesday amid a crowded Lunar New Year field. It is the biggest Disney Animation opening ever in China and the second biggest Disney/Pixar animated opening film there behind Monster’s University. Frozen’s international cume is now an estimated $545.1M. The Lego Movie, which did a whopping $69.1M domestically, debuted in 34 markets and raked in a strong $18.7M from 5,695 screens. It was notably constructive in Mexico, Spain, Brazil and Hong Kong where it nabbed the No. 1 spots. In Hong Kong, it ranked ahead of four local titles for the top spot and $1M. Meanwhile, Universal’s 47 Ronin becomes the distributors’ first picture to Lego Moviecross the $100M mark in 2014. It grossed another $4.5M in 39 territories this weekend in 2,184 locales. Its worldwide cume is nearing $138M with six territories yet to open over the next two months. DreamWorks Animation’s Mr. Peabody & Sherman traveled back to the past to score a real-time No. 1 in the UK where it bested new opener Robocop. Robocop, however, opened at No. 1 in 10 markets this weekend for an estimated cume to date of $28.7M ahead of its bow in 30 more territories this week, plus the U.S. on Wednesday. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug has so far grossed $602.7M internationally to push its worldwide cume to $858M. Here are the key territory breakdowns for the above and other films this week:

Related: BOX OFFICE: ‘Lego’ Blockbuster $69M+; ‘Monuments Men’ Solid Second; ‘Vampire Academy’ Has No Bite

ASIA
frozen-two-princesses-618x400Frozen opened in China on February 5, in the waning days of the Lunar New Year celebration that was packed with local pics. The Disney film earned an estimated $13.7M to make it the 2nd biggest Disney/Pixar animated bow ever. The last animated studio film to debut in the country was Universal’s Despicable Me 2 in early January which took $14.4M in its opening frame and now has over $49M. In Korea, Frozen dropped 32% from a weekend earlier for a new cume of $57.7M; it is the highest animated title ever in that territory. Read More »

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Hot Trailer: ‘Mr. Peabody & Sherman’

By | Friday October 25, 2013 @ 8:06pm PDT

“Peabody here.” DreamWorks Animation is using the WABAC machine to transfer the world’s smartest person — er, dog — and his boy from The Rocky & Bullwinkle Show to the big screen. In Mr. Peabody & Sherman, the title duo (Ty Burrell and Max Charles, respectively) travel back … Read More »

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